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ÑÏ: Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:00 GMT) EUR/USD The Euro lost ground after leaving an hourly double top at 1.3433, unable to sustain gains above recent consolidative range top at 1.3400. Losses accelerated on a break below 1.3400, losing also near-term **** at 1.3300 and bull trendline off 1.2660 at 1.3275, to dip to 1.3235 so far, just ahead of main bull trendline, drawn off 1.2042 at 1.3230. Consolidation above the latter is seen likely, as hourly studies are oversold, however, 4h chart studies show room for further extension lower. The notion is supported by daily indicators sliding into negative territory, with break below trendline support, seen as a trigger for fresh weakness towards strong support area at 1.3185, 50% of 1.2660/1.3710 / daily Ichimoku cloud top and 1.3170, Sep 2012 highs. Previous **** at 1.3300, now acts as initial resistance and along with 1.3330, 50% of yesterday’s slide and 55 day EMA, seen capping for now. Res: 1.3270, 1.3300, 1.3330, 1.3357 Sup: 1.3235, 1.3200, 1.3185, 1.3170 GBP/USD Cable slumped to 1.5130 after sharp sell-off was triggered on a break below 1.5400. More significant is loss of multi-year range floor at 1.5233 and monthly Ichimoku cloud **** that confirm bearish breakout and commences fresh bear-phase. Immediate focus turns towards 1.5100, Fib 261.8% expansion of the extended wave from 1.6380 and psychological 1.5000 support. Corrective action on extremely stretched near-term studies, faces initial barriers at 1.5200/50 zone, with key near-term levels seen at 1.5290/1.5325, 50% / 61.8% of yesterday’s fall and only break above the latter would spark more significant recovery. Res: 1.5200, 1.5250, 1.5290, 1.5325 Sup: 1.5130, 1.5100, 1.5050, 1.5000 USD/JPY The pair’s near-term price action shows no significant changes, compared to the previous few sessions, moving within 93.00/94.00 range. Near-term studies hold neutral stance, while overall bulls are showing initial signals of fatigue, as daily indicators started to move lower and ADX shows bulls sidelined. However, break below 92.00 **** and breakpoint is to confirm bearish reversal and conversely, lift above 94.45 to open next upside target at 95.00, May 2010 high. Res: 93.80, 94.00, 94.21, 94.40 Sup: 93.34, 93.00, 92.68, 92.21 USD/CHF Near-term bulls regained ground after yesterday’s brief break below 0.9200 higher ****, found ground above 0.9150 breakpoint. Fresh extension through 0.9256, previous range top, so far tested our next target at 0.9300, Fib 76.4% of 0.9387/0.9020 and daily Ichimoku cloud top, where overbought hourly studies limited rally. However, fresh attempt above midlines of 4h chart indicators, suggests that extension towards key near-term barriers at 0.9381/87 is likely, with clearance of 0.9300 barrier required to confirm. Corrective easing should ideally find support at / above 0.9250 area, previous tops and Fib 38.2% of yesterday’s rally, to keep near-term bulls intact, with further easing seen not very harmful for near-term bears, as long as 0.9200 and yesterday’s low at 0.9182 hold. Res: 0.9300, 0.9323, 0.9345, 0.9381 Sup: 0.9271, 0.9254, 0.9227, 0.9210 |
ÑÏ: Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:00 GMT) EUR/USD The Euro remains within near-term 1.3144/1.3243 consolidative range, with hourly studies building up momentum, following gap higher opening. The notion is supported by last Friday’s Doji that may signal basing attempt, however, break above range top at 1.3243 is seen as initial requirement, with regain of more significant 1.3300, previous **** and near 50% of 1.3431/1.3144, required to confirm. Conversely, bearish continuation through 1.3144, also 90 day MA, would open 1.3100 and 1.3061, 50% of 1.2660 /1.3710 upleg. Res: 1.3243, 1.3253, 1.3287, 1.3300 Sup: 1.3174, 1.3144, 1.3100, 1.3061 GBP/USD Cable ticks higher following last Friday’s fall from 1.5300 zone and overnight’s gap lower opening that posted fresh 1 ½ low at 1.5069. Technical correction is attempting to fill the overnight gap that may trigger stronger recovery, however, only break above 1.5300 zone would have more significant impact and sideline bears. Otherwise, test of psychological 1.5000 support is seen as near-term scenario, with break here to shift focus towards 1.4230, 2010 low. Weekly close at 1.5190, reinforced by 20 day EMA and 50% of 1.5315/1.5069 is seen as breakpoint. Res: 1.5163, 1.5190, 1.5221, 1.5257 Sup: 1.5114, 1.5100, 1.5069, 1.5000 USD/JPY The pair skyrocketed on weekly over 100 pips gap-higher opening and posted fresh 22-month high at 94.55, aiming towards near-term target at 94.97, 2010 high. Break above recent range, sees potential for fresh extension higher, as 94.00 zone offers initial support. Only filling the overnight gap and fall below Friday’s closing price, would signal false break, while key near-term support lies at 92.00 **** and break here is required to bring bears in play. Res: 94.29, 94.45, 94.55, 94.97 Sup: 94.00, 93.87, 93.66, 93.50 USD/CHF Near-term structure shows signs of fatigue, as the price attempts below consolidation range floor at 0.9280, after failing to sustain gains above important 0.9300 barrier. Hourly structure is turning negative, while larger picture technical still maintain positive tone and would allow pullback towards 0.9240, Fib 61.8% of 0.9181/0.9332 upleg / 55 day EMA, while only loss of 0.9200 handle would increase risk of stronger reversal of near-term 0.9020/0.9332 recovery. Res: 0.9300, 0.9315, 0.9332, 0.9345 Sup: 0.9256, 0.9240, 0.9217, 0.9200 |
ÑÏ: Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:00 GMT) EUR/USD The Euro remains in a near-term consolidative mode, moving within 100 pips range. Hourly structure is negatively aligned, as 55 day EMA limits the upside and price holds below 1.3120/40, range top / Friday’s low. Break here would allow for further correction, however, prevailing negative tone on 4h chart, with channel support being cracked, keeps the downside favored. Immediate supports lie at 1.3030, daily Ichimoku cloud **** and 1.3017, yesterday’s low, ahead of psychological 1.3000 level, also 04 Jan low, loss of which would open 1.2900 zone, Fib 76.4% of 1.2660/1.3710 ascend. Channel resistance at 1.3280 and 25 Feb peaks 1.3317 are seen as near-term breakpoints. Res: 1.3100, 1.3121, 1.3144, 1.3167 Sup: 1.3030, 1.3017, 1.3000, 1.2908 GBP/USD Cable remains weak, as the price returns to weekly lows, following recovery failure at 1.5220, Fib 61.8% of 1.5315/1.5069 downleg. Near-term studies are negative and see potential for further weakness towards initial 1.5000 target are likely. From the other side, bullish MACD / RSI divergence, developing on 4h chart, suggest basing attempt above psychological 1.5000 support that may result in stronger consolidative / corrective action. Upside break above initial 1.5218 barrier, is required to give initial signal, while regain of 1.5300 zone, would sideline near-term bears. Res: 1.5160, 1.5192, 1.5220, 1.5257 Sup: 1.5080, 1.5069, 1.5000, 1.4950 USD/JPY The pair consolidates within bearish pennant pattern, following bounce off 90.85, Monday’s fresh one-month low. Break and yesterday’s close below previous strong support at 92.00, keeps the downside favored, with resumption of recent sharp fall, seen on a break below 90.85, also near 50% of 86.81/94.55, to confirm reversal and open 90.00/89.75 next. Conversely, bounce above 92.00 would delay bears and shift near-term focus towards 92.75/93.00 barriers. Res: 92.00, 92.25, 92.75, 93.14 Sup: 91.62, 91.12, 90.85, 90.67 USD/CHF The pair remains in a near-term sideways mode, confirmed by yesterday’s Doji and holding below range tops at 0.9330 zone. Hourly bulls are losing traction and see risk of slide below 0.9300 that may risk violation of range floor at 0.9280 and signal stronger pullback. The notion is supported 4h studies that are losing bullish momentum. However, overall bulls from 0.9020 **** will remain in play for eventual test of key 0.9381/87 barriers, as long as 0.9200/0.9180, also 50% of 0.9020/0.9325, stay intact. Res: 0.9337, 0.9348, 0.9381, 0.9387 Sup: 0.9300, 0.9280, 0.9256, 0.9240 |
ÑÏ: Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:00 GMT) EUR/USD The Euro broke above consolidation top at 1.3120, but gains are still limited under 50% of 1.3317/1.3017 fall and for now, insufficient to confirm reversal, signaled by Doji and big white candle, seen on 26/27 Feb. Positive hourly structure sees the upside favored for now, with stretch towards 1.3200/25 zone, Fib 61.8% / daily Ichimoku cloud top and Tenkan-sen line. Overall bearish tone, however, keeps the downside risk in play, with current move seen as corrective and preceding test of 1.3000, next target. Only break above 1.3300/15, channel resistance / 25 Feb peaks, would delay bears in favor of stronger recovery. Res: 1.3167, 1.3200, 1.3215, 1.3246 Sup: 1.3124, 1.3100, 1.3039, 1.3017 GBP/USD Cable remains entrenched within 1.5069/1.5218 consolidative range, with near-term studies holding neutral tone. Bullish divergence on 4h chart so far did not produce any significant gains, as the pair failed to capitalize in filling Monday’s gap. With 20 day EMA limiting the upside and 4h studies still lacking momentum, the downside remains vulnerable. Upside break above 1.5218 would delay bears that dominate on larger timeframes studies, however, only clearance of 1.5315, 22 Feb double-top, would prevent the pair sliding towards initial target at 1.5000. Res: 1.5190, 1.5220, 1.5257, 1.5315 Sup: 1.5150, 1.5120, 1.5080, 1.5069 USD/JPY Near-term structure improves, as the price moves towards the upper boundary of consolidation range at 92.70. Break and close above important 92.00 resistance, previous ****, would signal stronger reversal of sharp 94.55/90.85 fall, as 92.70 marks 50% of entire downleg, where also 55day EMA lies. However, weak 4h studies do not see much potential for stronger rebound that requires regain of 93.00 barrier, to re-focus 94.55 and 94.97, 2010 high. On the downside, loss of 92.00 handle will be seen as initial signal of weakness, but break below 90.85/67 is to confirm reversal from 94.55 and open next downside target at 90.00. Res: 92.70, 93.14, 93.68, 94.00 Sup: 92.16, 92.00, 91.62, 91.12 USD/CHF Larger picture bulls remain intact for now, however, near-term studies are lacking momentum for break above one-week range top at 0.9330 zone. Hourly structure is getting negatively aligned, as the price attempts at range floor at 0.9280, with 4h studies losing traction that keep the downside at risk. Downside break of 0.9280/50 supports is to further weaken the structure, while loss of pivotal 0.9200 zone will put near-term bulls aside. Alternative scenario sees break above 0.9330 as a trigger for bullish extension towards key barriers and near-term targets at 0.9381/87. Res: 0.9300, 0.9326, 0.9337, 0.9381 Sup: 0.9280, 0.9256, 0.9240, 0.9200 |
ÑÏ: Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:00 GMT) EUR/USD The Euro regains strength after yesterday’s spike to 1.3072 and quick return to 1.3000, where support was found. Hourly structure holds slight positive tone, as the price attempts at 50% of 1.3133/1.2950 fall and previous high, however, 4h studies are lacking momentum, with upside being limited by 55 day EMA. Overall, near-term price action is in sideways mode, as shown on 4h chart and entrenched within 1.3160/1.2950 range, consolidating the recent losses. Larger picture bears are still in play and see the downside vulnerable, as loss of 1.2950 would open 1.2900 and 1.2875, 50% retracement of larger 1.2042/1.3710 upleg. Conversely, clearance of 1.3133/60 barriers, would sideline bears and allow for stronger recovery. Res: 1.3052, 1.3072, 1.3100, 1.3133 Sup: 1.3013, 1.2985, 1.2950, 1.2900 GBP/USD Cable trades in a near-term corrective mode, after bounce from yesterday’s fresh low at 1.4830, recovered over 50% of 1.5046/1.4830 fall at 1.4951, testing the initial resistance at 1.4950/60 zone. Hourly indicators moved in the positive territory, however, 4h structure still sees prevailing negative tone that, along with double-Doji candle, may produce further consolidation, while psychological 1.5000 and 1.5046, 08 Mar high, cap. Overextended daily studies may signal stronger rebound ahead, with clearance of 1.5000/46, seen as trigger. Upside rejection, however, would risk fresh extension of larger bear-trend and expose 1.4800, initially. Res: 1.4960, 1.5000, 1.5050, 1.5080 Sup: 1.4900, 1.4865, 1.4830, 1.4800 USD/JPY The pair remains under pressure, as fresh weakness below yesterday’s low at 95.63, threatens for extension of near-term corrective pullback from 96.70, yesterday’s fresh high. Descending 4h chart indicators and hourlies already in the red territory, support such scenario and focus the next target at 95.25, Fib 38.2% of 92.90/96.70 upleg, ahead of 94.80, 50% retracement / 55 day EMA. Overall bulls, however, remain intact for now and keep the next target at 97.00 in near-term focus, once corrective pullback is over. Only slide below previous strong barrier at 94.50 zone, would delay bulls. Res: 96.00, 96.26, 96.70, 97.00 Sup: 95.25, 95.00, 94.84, 94.55 AUD/USD Near-term structure holds positive tone, as the price attempts at yesterday’s highs at 1.0330 zone, after brief consolidation was contained above psychological 1.3000 level. Positive near-term studies favor further recovery off 1.0114 fresh low and turn focus towards 1.0356,/73, 200 day MA / 50% of 1.0597/1.0114 / 15 Feb high, seen as initial target. Downside should stay protected at 1.0300 to keep bullish structure intact. Res: 1.0335, 1.0356, 1.0373, 1.0400 Sup: 1.0300, 1.0284, 1.0265, 1.0253 |
ÑÏ: Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:00 GMT) EUR/USD The single currency remains within the range of 1.3000 and 1.2842, with the upper barrier being pressured. Sideways movements are seen in past few sessions after Monday’s gap lower opening, with dips being so far contained by 200 day MA. Hourly structure is positive that sees potential attack at 1.3000 barrier, also 61.8%% of 1.3106/1.2842 fall likely, as break here is seen as a trigger for more bullish action and will signal a bottom. Conversely, loss of 1.2900 handle, will turn near-term outlook bearish. Res: 1.2977, 1.2994, 1.3044, 1.3077 Sup: 1.2927, 1.2900, 1.2879, 1.2842 http://mediaserver.fxstreet.com/Repo...0321075301.gif GBP/USD Cable remains in a sideways mode, holding within 1.5070/1.5140 range, with yesterday’s spikes in both directions, seen as a noise. Flat hourly studies favor further directionless trading, while structure on 4h chart holds positive tone, as the price action is supported by ascending 20 day EMA and underpinned by 20/55 EMA’s bullish crossover. Full retracement of 1.5220/1.4830 descend and break higher is needed to confirm bottom for more significant rebound, otherwise, the downside would remain vulnerable. Key support and breakpoint lies at 1.5000, below which, bears will take control. Res: 1.5142, 1.5185, 1.5200, 1.5220 Sup: 1.5070, 1.5026, 1.5000, 1.4980 http://mediaserver.fxstreet.com/Repo...0321075241.gif USD/JPY The pair tested 96.00 barrier, following break above trendline resistance at 95.35 and previous recovery high at 95.73. The near-term uptrend has been established, as 4h indicators broke above their midlines that opens way for further recovery, with 76.4% of entire 96.70/94.30 fall being retraced so far. Pullback on overbought hourlies, should ideally find support at 95.70/50 zone, before fresh extension higher, with sustained break above 96.00, to attract 96.50/70 highs for retest. Bull trendline off 94.30 low, stands at 95.20 and only break here would revive bears. Res: 96.12, 96.25, 96.50, 96.70 Sup: 95.65, 94.47, 95.20, 95.00 http://mediaserver.fxstreet.com/Repo...0321075221.gif AUD/USD No changes in Aussie’s price action seen in the past few sessions, as the upside remains capped at 1.04 zone. Lack of bullish momentum, so far limits recovery rally from 1.0114 at Fib 61.8% of 1.0597/1.0114 descend, however, the lower boundary of near-term congestion is additionally supported by ascending 200 day MA. Daily studies remain positive and keep the upside favored, while 4h indicators are losing traction and hourlies being neutral. Breakpoints stand at 1.0412 and 1.0342. Res: 1.0400, 1.0412, 1.0456, 1.0474 Sup: 1.0350, 1.0342, 1.0300, 1.0286 http://mediaserver.fxstreet.com/Repo...0321075154.gif |
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