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رد: Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:00 GMT) EURUSD Near-term structure remains bullish, as renewed strength attempts again at 1.14 barrier, after pullback from yesterday’s peak at 1.1395, found footstep at 1.1342, broken bull-channel resistance. Completion of consolidation phase, confirmed by yesterday’s Doji, to open fresh acceleration towards next targets at 1.1458/65, peaks of 18 Sep / 15 May and 1.1473, Fibonacci 61.8% of 1.1725/1.1086 descend. Daily close above the latter, would trigger fresh acceleration higher. Yesterday’s low at 1.1342, offers good support, ahead of 1.1309, Fibonacci 38.2% of 1.1170/1.1395 rally, loss of which would revive near-term bears. Res: 1.1396; 1.1458; 1.1473; 1.1500 Sup: 1.1375; 1.1360; 1.1342; 1.1307 GBPUSD Cable is regaining traction and probes above three-day congestion top at 1.5380, after consolidative phase was contained at very strong 1.53 support zone, reinforced by daily 20SMA, with 200SMA, laying ticks above. Sustained break above 1.5380, which also marks the mid-point of 1.5656/1.5105 descend, is needed to resume recovery rally from 1.5105, interrupted by 1.5300/1.5380 consolidation. Next targets lay at 1.5427, daily 55SMA, ahead of 1.5446, Fibonacci 61.8% retracement. Prolonged consolidation should hold above 1.53 handle, otherwise, sustained break here would signal lower platform formation and possible end of recovery phase. Res: 1.5386; 1.5427; 1.5446; 1.5500 Sup: 1.5318; 1.5300; 1.5260; 1.5240 USDJPY Near-term price action attacks the lower boundary of the triangle, after yesterday’s action was limited by daily 20SMA, keeping intact triangle’s top at 120.27 and more significant thin 127.37/70 daily Ichimoku cloud. Alignment of daily technicals is negative and will favor fresh downside attempts, while daily cloud caps. Sustained break below triangle support, currently at 120.68, will put pressure on short-term congestion floor at 119 zone and signal fresh direction, on violation of the latter. Conversely, upside resumption requires break above daily cloud and 200SMA, currently at 120.87. Res: 120.08; 120.27; 120.37; 120.70 Sup: 119.68; 119.23; 119.05; 118.67 AUDUSD Aussie enters near-term corrective phase, after strong and uninterrupted rally from 0.6935 double-bottom, peaked at 0.7380, being limited by falling daily 100SMA. Corrective easing that returned into daily cloud and cracked psychological 0.7300 handle, so far holds above initial support at 0.7278, former peaks / Fibonacci 23.6% of 0.6935/0.7380 rally. Extended dips, which are signaled by overbought daily slow Stochastic, turning lower, should be ideally contained above 0.7210, Fibonacci 38.2% of 0.6935/0.7380, to keep overall bulls intact. Res: 0.7362; 0.7380; 0.7409; 0.7435 Sup: 0.7291; 0.7273; 0.7210; 0.7180 |
رد: Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:00 GMT) EURUSD The pair closed in red yesterday, with psychological 1.13 support, reinforced by daily Kijun-sen line, containing dips for now. Near-term technicals are bearishly aligned and see risk of slide below 1.13 handle, for test of strong support zone that lies just below. Daily 20SMA offers initial support at 1.1280, followed by thin 1.1260/73 daily Ichimoku cloud and 1.1253, Fibonacci 61.8% of 1.1103/1.1494 rally. However, setup of daily MA’s and indicators, remains bullish and signals possible reversal above strong support zone. Oversold daily slow Stochastic, support the notion. Break below 1.1250 is needed to confirm bearish resumption, while bullish scenario requires lift above initial barrier at 1.1378, Fibonacci 38.2% of 1.1494/1.1304 / hourly lower ****, as bullish signal. Return above 1.14 handle, is needed to confirm near-term bulls fully in play. Res: 1.1378; 1.1395; 1.1422; 1.1450 Sup: 1.1300; 1.1270; 1.1253; 1.1230 GBPUSD Cable remains in narrow near-term consolidation, entrenched within daily Ichimoku cloud, with fresh attempts above cloud top, underway. Near-term structure remains bullish and sees final push through 1.55 barrier and resumption of recovery rally, as favored scenario. Bullish daily studies, with fresh attempts through 100SMA, which capped upside attempts in past few sessions and expanding 20d Bollinger bands, support scenario. Daily slow Stochastic, which moves sideways in the overbought territory, warns of possible extended consolidation. Daily cloud **** at 1.5404, marks pivotal support and break lower would activate alternative scenario of stronger correction of 1.5198/1.5506 upleg. Res: 1.5506; 1.5526; 1.5561; 1.5597 Sup: 1.5453; 1.5425; 1.5404; 1.5352 USDJPY The pair extends near-term recovery from fresh low at 118.05 and probes above 119.65, last Friday’s recovery top / daily Kijun-sen line, after yesterday’s narrow consolidation. Near-term bulls are gaining traction and threaten to break above the first pivot at 119.85, daily 20SMA, which is expected to cap recovery rallies. Break higher would sideline downside attempts, in favor of stronger recovery above 12 barrier, which would bring in focus breakpoint zone, shaped in thin daily Ichimoku cloud and laying at 120.32/70 span. Otherwise, daily close below 20SMA, would signal an end of corrective phase and shift near-term focus lower again. Res: 119.85; 120.00; 120.32; 120.70 Sup: 119.40; 119.12; 118.90; 118.70 AUDUSD Aussie probes above descending daily cloud top again, following yesterday’s unsuccessful attempts above 0.73 barrier that left red daily candle with long upper shadow and weakened near-term structure. Near-term studies hold neutral tone, as the price is entrenched within 0.7240/0.7305 range, in directionless mode. Daily picture show the price action holding in triangular consolidation, following 0.7380/0.7196 corrective pullback. Setup of daily technicals remains bullish and favors fresh upside attempts, with 0.7305, marking initial barrier, followed by falling 100SMA at 0.7341 and 15 Oct lower top at 0.7361, to expose key 0.7380 peak. On the downside, yesterday’s low at 0.7235, offers immediate support, guarding 0.7196 breakpoint, 14 Oct pullback’s low. Res: 0.7305; 0.7341; 0.7361; 0.7380 Sup: 0.7273; 0.7235; 0.7196; 0.7157 |
رد: Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:00 GMT) EURUSD The Euro is back above 1.10 handle, where it closed on Friday, after recovery rally was capped by bear-trendline that connects 1.1712 and 1.1458 peaks at 1.1070 and daily candle with long upper shadow, signaled strong selling interest. Further recovery cannot be ruled out, as daily slow Stochastic is heading north, after reversing from oversold zone, with potential probes above trendline resistance, now at 1.1055, expected to find strong barriers at 1.1082, falling daily 10SMA that formed Golden Cross and 200SMA 1.1107, which is expected to cap extended rallies. Downside remains at risk, as bearish signal was given by strong bearish monthly close, with prolonged consolidation, signaled by weekly long-legged Doji and failure to close below monthly wedge support line, expected to precede fresh leg lower. Res: 1.1048; 1.1082; 1.1107; 1.1138 Sup: 1.1011; 1.0964; 1.0895; 1.0862 GBPUSD Cable remains well supported and looks for retest of strong 1.5506 barrier, lower platform, where several upside attempts were rejected, following last Friday’s strong rally that left the longest daily bullish candle after 14 Oct rally. Bullish weekly and monthly close, support further upside, with another bullish signal, given by monthly Bullish Engulfing pattern. Fresh strength probes above thin daily Ichimoku cloud, which doesn’t act as strong barrier. Daily studies are positive, with daily MA’s, turning into firm bullish setup, after Friday’s strong rally, supporting final attack at1.5506 breakpoint. Corrective dips could be anticipated before final break above 1.5506 platform, as near-term studies are entering overbought territory Res: 1.5506; 1.5566; 1.5605; 1.5656 Sup: 1.5435; 1.5380; 1.5365; 1.5326 USDJPY The pair continues to trade within 120.00/121.46, near-term congestion, following repeated rejection at strong 121.46 barrier. Return below daily cloud top at 120.73, which now acts as initial barrier and so far caps today’s action, weakens again near-term structure. Extended consolidation is seen as favored near-term scenario, before the pair establishes in fresh direction, as the price remains in short-term directionless mode, holding within two-month range between 121.64 and 118.05. Res: 120.70; 121.02; 121.46; 121.64 Sup: 120.16; 120.00; 119.60; 119.35 AUDUSD The pair extends near-term recovery attempt off 0.7064, correction low, following Friday’s strong bullish close and today’s fresh rally that penetrated daily Ichimoku cloud **** at 0.7120. Near-term technicals are gaining traction and see potential for further recovery. Bullish monthly close could be seen as initial signal. However, rallies need to break above daily Ichimoku cloud top at 0.7180, reinforced by daily Tenkan-sen line and Fibonacci 38.2% of 0.7380/0.7064 downleg, to sideline downside risk and signal stronger correction. Daily slow Stochastic is reversing from oversold zone and support scenario. Lift above initial pivot at 0.7180, to expose next significant barriers at 0.7222, daily 20SMA and 0.7260, Fibonacci 61.8% retracement, break of which to confirm reversal. Res: 0.7180; 0.7122; 0.7260; 0.7296 Sup: 0.7120; 0.7082; 0.7064; 0.7000 |
رد: Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:00 GMT) EURUSD The Euro bounced after posting fresh low at 1.0615 yesterday, on profit-taking action that peaked at 1.0717. Falling daily 10SMA, reinforced by falling daily Tenkan-sen, which maintains downmove for the past month, capped so far the rally at 1.0717. This barrier should ideally keep the upside protected, however, extension higher cannot be ruled out, as hourly studies turned positive. Overall picture remains firmly bearish and favors fresh action lower, on completion of current consolidation. Next significant barriers lay at 1.0760, hourly double top and 4-hour Ichimoku cloud **** and 1.0800/28, Fibonacci 38.2% of 1.1094/1.0615 / 12 Nov low and mark the upside breakpoint Res: 1.0717; 1.0760; 1.0800; 1.0828 Sup: 1.0666; 1.0629; 1.0615; 1.0600 GBPUSD Cable probes above four-day 1.5262/1.5153 congestion, following two-day rally from 1.5153, 17 Nov range low, where higher low is forming, after false break below strong weekly Ichimoku cloud support at 1.5191. Cracking descending daily 20SMA / Kijun-sen line at 1.5267, could be seen as initial bullish signal, though, gains so far stay below psychological 1.5300 barrier. The notion is supported by near-term studies, which gained bullish tone. On the other side, daily technicals remain bearishly aligned, with the pair facing strong resistance zone above 1.53 barrier, which consist of sideways-moving daily 30SMA and 200SMA at 1.5306 and 1.5339, respectively. Sustained break here is needed to confirm bearish resumption and neutralize existing risk of recovery stall. Res: 1.5291; 1.5306; 1.5340; 1.5370 Sup: 1.5248; 1.5226; 1.5206; 1.5185 USDJPY The pair pulls back in corrective action, after marginally higher high was posted at 123.74. Probe below initial support and former consolidation floor at 123.17, Fibonacci 38.2% of 122.20/123.74, generated initial signal of deeper pullback, which so far hit support at 123.08, rising daily 10SMA. Strong support lies at 123 zone, defined by 10SMA and 4-hour Ichimoku cloud top and should ideally contain dips, to prevent deeper pullback. However, near-term studies are weakening and cannot rule out further correction. Extended corrective action, also signaled by daily RSI / slow Stochastic, reversing from overbought territory, should not exceed key near-term support at 122.20, 16 Nov higher low. Res: 123.36; 123.74; 124.14; 124.50 Sup: 123.08; 122.90; 122.79; 122.56 AUDUSD The pair rallies above near-term 0.7156/0.7067 consolidation, after strong barriers of falling daily 20SMA and trendline resistance at 0.7125, were taken out. Today’s fresh strength, follows yesterday’s indecision, shaped in Doji with long tail, commences the third wave of recovery from 0.7014, low of 10 Nov. Daily close above 0.7156, former range top and Fibonacci 38.2% of 0.7380/0.7014 downleg, is seen as minimum requirement to confirm bullish resumption. The notion is supported by probe above the top of thin daily cloud top, which twists higher. Next important barriers lay at 0.7210/22, Fibonacci 100% expansion / 04 Nov lower top. Daily indicators are heading north and gaining bullish momentum for fresh upside extension. Broken daily 20SMA / bear-trendline, now offer strong support, guarding 0.7067 higher low and downside breakpoint. Res: 0.7177; 0.7197; 0.7210; 0.7222 Sup: 0.7151; 0.7125; 0.7067; 0.7048 [IMG]http://mediaserver.fxstreet.com/Reports/325f5b3f-7a7d-4768-8193-afec3573778f/audusd_20151119110926.png[/IMG] |
رد: Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:00 GMT) EURUSD The Euro cracked psychological 1.06 support, on extension of last Friday’s bearish acceleration that left bearish outside day. Strong bearish stance is also confirmed by negative weekly close. Firm break below 1.06 handle, is expected to trigger stops and accelerate towards next target at 1.0519, 10 Apr low with key med-term support at 1.0461, Mar 2015 year-to date low, seen in extension. Limited corrections are expected, with falling daily 10SMA / Tenkan-sen, which maintains month-long descend, offering strong resistance at 1.07 zone, where upticks should be ideally capped. Only sustained break above 1.0760, last Friday / 16 Nov peaks, would ease strong bearish pressure and allow for extended recovery. Res: 1.0661; 1.0706; 1.0727; 1.0760 Sup: 1.0599; 1.0560; 1.0519; 1.0461 GBPUSD Cable reversed quickly and left long daily bearish candle on Friday, following last Thursday’s upside rejection at strong 1.5340 zone, daily Ichimoku cloud **** / 200SMA. Friday’s action was capped by south-turning daily 30SMA, where tower top was left at 1.5308. Bearish acceleration closed below daily 10SMA at 1.5206 and so far touched 1.5138, below Fibonacci 61.8% of 1.5025/1.5334 upleg. Near-term studies turned bearish on current weakness, while daily bears are re-confirmed on return to firm bearish setup of daily MA’s. The pair is looking for next support at 1.5100, Fibonacci 76.4% level / hourly higher ****, the last obstacle on the way to 1.5025, 06 Nov low and psychological 1.5000 support. Oversold 4-hour slow Stochastic may trigger extended consolidation, with broken daily 10SMA, currently at 1.5205, expected to ideally cap. Only break above falling daily 20SMA at 1.5246, would sideline near-term bears. Res: 1.5175; 1.5205; 1.5246; 1.5260 Sup: 1.5138; 1.5100; 1.5025; 1.5000 USDJPY The pair is gaining traction on bounce from 122.60/70 zone, last Thu/Fri lows and establishes above 123 handle. Fresh rally commenced after bears showed hesitation at 122.60 low, which stayed intact and Doji candle was left on Friday. Weekly close was also bullish, despite strong selling pressure earlier. Higher low is now forming at 122.60, for renewed attacks at key 123.74 barrier, peak of 18 Nov, which guards our short-term target at 124.14. Broken daily 10SMA offers initial support at 123, ahead of 122.60 higher **** and pivotal 122.20 higher low, reinforced by rising daily 20SMA. Res: 123.31; 123.47; 123.74; 124.14 Sup: 123.00; 122.61; 122.20; 121.47 AUDUSD Aussie pulls back below thin daily cloud **** at 0.7170, after strong two-day bullish acceleration peaked at 0.7248. Recovery failed to close above 0.7240, Fibonacci 61.8% of 0.7380/0.7014 descend, missing another bullish signal, in favor of corrective pullback. The pair found footstep at 0.7157, double-Fibonacci support, also former consolidation tops, which should act as ideal support and limit near-term bears off 0.7248. Slow Stochastic of 4-hour chart is entering oversold territory and could be seen as initial reversal signal. However, regain of minimum 0.72 level, which lies near Fibonacci 38.2% of 0.7248/0.7157, is needed to confirm scenario. Caution on overbought conditions of daily slow Stochastic and MACD / Momentum studies hovering around the midlines. Return below 0.7157 will trigger fresh bears and signal extension of reversal from 0.7248. Res: 0.7200; 0.7240; 0.7265; 0.7300 Sup: 0.7157; 0.7136; 0.7100; 0.7067 |
Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (11:00 GMT) EURUSD The Euro probed above 1.06 barrier, on a bounce from yesterday’s marginally lower low at 1.0556. Current action is seen as consolidation and preceding fresh bears towards initial target at 1.0519 and key med-term support at 1.0461, low of 2015, posted in Mar, in extension. Bearish resumption, on violation of the latter, is seen as likely s/t scenario, as overall bears remain firmly in play. Near-term consolidation faces good resistance at 1.0628, falling daily 10SMA, which is expected to ideally cap, guarding descending daily 20SMA, currently at 1.0693, reinforcing 1.0688 pivot, spike high of 25 Nov. Res: 1.0617; 1.0628; 1.0690; 1.0737 Sup: 1.0576; 1.0556; 1.0519; 1.0500 GBPUSD Cable bounced strongly after cracking psychological 1.50 support yesterday and regained levels above 1.51 handle, on today’s fresh bullish acceleration. Near-term technicals regained traction on current rally, which so far holds under pivotal barrier at 1.5134, 25 Nov lower top / near Fibonacci 38.2% of 1.5334/1.4992 descend, reinforced by falling daily 10SMA. Sustained break here is required to give initial signal of stronger correction, as daily slow Stochastic reversed from oversold zone and heads north, showing more room for corrective action. However, strong resistance zone lies ahead, consisting of falling daily 20SMA at 1.5164 and weekly Ichimoku cloud **** at 1.5188, which lies just under Fibonacci 61.8% of 1.5334/1.4992 and is expected to limit extended rallies, ahead of renewed attack at 1.50 pivot. Near-term consolidative actions are seen ahead of renewed attempts higher, while return below 1.5048, session low, would signal an end of corrective phase. Res: 1.5124; 1.5134; 1.5164; 1.5188 Sup: 1.5075; 1.5028; 1.4992; 1.4950 USDJPY The pair regains 123 zone, after overnight’s sharp fall to 122.62, where footstep was found. Near-term technicals are in neutral mode, while daily bulls remain intact and keep focus at the upside. Brief break below rising daily 20SMA, which maintains ascend from 122.24 higher low, so far did not affect overall bullish structure. Repeated daily close above 20SMA, to keep intact near-term upleg from 122.24, for fresh attack at 123.32, yesterday’s high and extension towards key near-term barrier at 123.74, 18 Nov high. Conversely, fresh attempts lower and daily close below 20SMA, currently at 122.80, would sideline immediate upside attempts and signal extended consolidation. Session low at 122.62, offers initial support, guarding 122.24/20 breakpoint. Res: 123.32; 123.59; 123.74; 124.50 Sup: 122.80; 122.62; 122.20; 121.56 AUDUSD Aussie accelerated on RBA overnight, triggering fresh recovery extension, signaled by yesterday’s Bullish Engulfing pattern. Fresh strength emerged above daily Ichimoku cloud top at 0.7214, to peak ticks away from psychological 0.7300 barrier. Strong bullish setup of daily studies, favors further upside, after near-term consolidation phase, left higher **** at 0.7160 zone. Focus is shifting towards key 0.7380 barrier, peak of 12 Oct, regain of which is needed to confirm higher low at 0.7020 and signal resumption of recovery from 0.6906, low of 04 Sep. Hourly higher low at 0.7253, offers initial support, ahead of daily cloud top at 0.7214, which is expected to contain extended corrective dips. Res: 0.7300; 0.7361; 0.7380; 0.7435 Sup: 0.7253; 0.7220; 0.7214; 0.7168 [IMG]http://mediaserver.fxstreet.com/Reports/325f5b3f-7a7d-4768-8193-afec3573778f/audusd_20151201100551.png[/IMG] |
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