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Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (11:00 GMT) EURUSD The Euro extends near-term recovery from 1.08 zone, where pullback from 1.0978 peak was contained and hourly higher low formed. The pair broke above hourly Ichimoku cloud top, which now offers initial support at 1.0872. Yesterday’s positive close improves near-term structure, however, limited upside attempts are seen for now. Mixed setup of daily MA’s and indicators signals no clear direction, with extended range-trading between 1.08 and 1.10 pivots, seen as likely scenario ahead of key FOMC meeting on 16 Dec. Recovery rally’s high at 1.0978 is reinforced by daily 55SMA, guards psychological 1.10 barrier and 200SMA at 1.1028, which form strong resistance zone. On the downside, hourly cloud top offers initial support at 1.0872, guarding pivotal 1.08 zone, 07 Dec correction low / Fibonacci 38.2% of 1.0519/1.0978 rally. Break of either boundary of the range is needed to define fresh direction. Res: 1.0948; 1.0978; 1.1000; 1.1028 Sup: 1.0872; 1.0839; 1.0800; 1.0764 [IMG]http://mediaserver.fxstreet.com/Reports/325f5b3f-7a7d-4768-8193-afec3573778f/eurusd_20151209094654.png[/IMG] GBPUSD Cable returned back above psychological 1.50 handle, on corrective rally off yesterday’s fresh low at 1.4954. Three-day bearish acceleration that left lower top at 1.5155, retraced Fibonacci 76.4% of 1.4892/1.5157 rally, so far. Near-term studies remain negative and see limited correction, ahead of fresh push towards 1.4892 target, to mark full retracement of 1.4892/1.5157 upleg. Firm bearish structure favors further downside, as daily slow Stochastic, which reversed from overbought territory, shows more room at the downside. Corrective attempts face good resistance at 1.5060 zone, falling daily 10SMA / hourly Ichimoku cloud ****, where rallies should be ideally capped. Extended rallies would open next pivot at 1.5100, 4-hour Ichimoku cloud top, break of which will sideline bears. Res: 1.5060; 1.5080; 1.5100; 1.5123 Sup: 1.5000; 1.4954; 1.4892; 1.4860 [IMG]http://mediaserver.fxstreet.com/Reports/325f5b3f-7a7d-4768-8193-afec3573778f/gbpusd_20151209094633.png[/IMG] USDJPY The pair extends yesterday’s pullback, after repeated upside rejection at 123.40 zone and shifts near-term focus towards strong support and congestion floor at 122.25 zone. Initial negative signals were given by break below daily Tenkan-sen / 20SMA at 122.95, however, daily technicals remain bullishly aligned. Rising daily 30SMA, so far contains at 122.57 and while holding, will keep limited downside risk at 122.25 pivot. Otherwise, violation of 122.25 support, would signal triple-top formation and trigger stronger bearish acceleration. Alternatively, bounce and close above 123.00/15 resistance zone, is needed to sideline downside risk and reverse focus higher. Res: 122.95; 123.15; 123.37; 123.65 Sup: 122.57; 122.25; 122.00; 121.57 [IMG]http://mediaserver.fxstreet.com/Reports/325f5b3f-7a7d-4768-8193-afec3573778f/usdjpy_20151209094610.png[/IMG] AUDUSD Aussie extends strong reversal off 0.7380 pivotal resistance, after attempts to break the resistance failed and subsequent sharp fall commenced. Two long red daily candles confirm rising downside pressure, as fresh bears accelerated through 0.7200, 50% of 0.7014/0.7383 rally and next support at 0.7168, daily Ichimoku cloud top. Daily cloud is thin (0.7168/43) and is not expected to provide significant support. Surge through the cloud would open next support at 0.7100, round-figure / Fibonacci 76.4% retracement. Look for corrective rallies in the near-term, as daily slow Stochastic is entering oversold territory. Daily Tenkan-sen at 0.7275 is expected to ideally cap corrective rallies. Res: 0.7200; 0.7235; 0.7280; 0.7305 Sup: 0.7168; 0.7143; 0.7100; 0.7067 |
رد: Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:00 GMT) EURUSD The Euro eased below 1.10 handle, where daily Ichimoku cloud **** lies, following the third consecutive failure at 200SMA at 1.1030. Near-term price action remains capped by descending daily cloud and currently holds within 1.0923/1.1030 congestion. Daily slow Stochastic is reversing from overbought territory and suggests further easing, however, bullishly aligned daily studies that still keep upside in focus, favor limited dips. Rising daily 10SMA, currently at 1.0868, is expected to contain extended downside attempts, to keep intact pivotal 1.0794 support, higher low of 07 Dec, loss of which would revive bears. Prolonged consolidation is seen as likely scenario, before renewed attack at daily cloud **** and 200SMA. Sustained break here and lift above 1.1100, daily Ichimoku cloud top, is required to confirm bullish resumption. Res: 1.1000; 1.1030; 1.1059; 1.1100 Sup: 1.0925; 1.0868; 1.0828; 1.0794 GBPUSD Cable dips below 1.52, on corrective pullback, triggered by Friday’s upside rejection at 1.5238, just under daily Ichimoku cloud **** at 1.5263. Further easing could be anticipated, as daily slow Stochastic is reversing from overbought territory. Pivotal supports lay at 1.5124/06, sideways-moving daily 20SMA / Fibonacci 38.2% of 1.4892/1.5237 upleg, with break here, expected to signal stronger correction. Otherwise, extended consolidation could be expected while 1.51 handle holds, ahead of renewed attempts higher. Penetration of daily cloud ****, is needed to expose pivotal barriers: 200SMA at 1.5318 and 19 Nov lower top / daily Ichimoku cloud top ant 1.5334/1.5340 zone, in extension. Res: 1.5200; 1.5238; 1.5263; 1.5318 Sup: 1.5142; 1.5124; 1.5106; 1.5065 USDJPY The pair bounces off last Friday’s low at 120.56, which was hit on quick acceleration after repeated failure to sustain gains above 200SMA. Rallies were capped by parallel-running daily Tenkan-sen / Kijun-sen lines, with subsequent easing, leaving red daily candle with long upper shadow and long bearish weekly candle. This gives fresh bearish signals of further extension lower, after reversal from 123.70 zone, broke below former consolidation top at 122.20, forming lower platform. Fresh bearish tone is developing on daily chart studies and favors further downside. Fresh weakness may be preceded by corrective rallies, off temporary support at 120.60 zone, offered by daily Ichimoku cloud ****. Friday’s peak, also being reinforced by falling daily 10SMA, is expected to limit rallies. Conversely, extended rally and close above daily 20SMA at 122.60, is needed to neutralize bears and shift near-term focus higher. Res: 121.34; 121.56; 122.20; 122.60 Sup: 120.60; 120.22; 120.00; 119.40 USDCAD Loonie remains under strong pressure, as crude oil continues to fall, with fresh 11-year low being posted at 1.3755, last Friday, on expectations of Fed’s rate hike. The pair hit high, ticks away from initial target at 1.3760, Fibonacci 161.8% expansion of extended wave C from 1.3036. Strong bullish setup of technicals on all timeframes, keeps upside in focus. Next targets lay at 1.3825 and 1.3930, Fibonacci 176.4% and 200% expansion, respectively. However, fresh rallies may be preceded by corrective action, as daily RSI and slow Stochastic are strongly overbought, but no bearish signal being generated so far. Look for rising daily SMA, currently at 1.3516, as ideal support to contain dips. Overall bulls would be dented in case of stronger pullback below 1.3420/00 support zone, rising daily 20SMA / Fibonacci 38.2% retracement of 1.2829/1.3755 rally. Res: 1.3760; 1.3825; 1.3930; 1.4000 Sup: 1.3699; 1.3617; 1.3583; 1.3530 [IMG]http://mediaserver.fxstreet.com/Reports/325f5b3f-7a7d-4768-8193-afec3573778f/usdcad_20151214102505.png[/IMG] |
رد: Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:00 GMT) EURUSD The Euro peaked at 1.0937 yesterday, on two-day rally from 1.08 ****, with recovery being so far capped by falling daily 55SMA, which guards more significant daily Ichimoku cloud **** at 1.0950. Near-term technicals are gaining traction and support fresh attempts higher. On the daily chart, indicators are in positive territory, with reversed slow Stochastic, heading north and showing more room upside. Penetration into daily cloud, is needed to signal bullish resumption towards psychological 1.10 barrier and 1.1058 pivot, lower top of 15 Dec. Low of narrow Asian range at 1.0900, marks initial support, with hourly Ichimoku cloud top, also Fibonacci 61.8% of 1.0801/1.0937 recovery at 1.0854, expected to ideally contain dips. Conversely, break below thin hourly cloud, would risk return to 1.08 ****. Res: 1.0921; 1.0937; 1.0950; 1.1009 Sup: 1.0900; 1.0885; 1.0854; 1.0841 GBPUSD Cable holds in extended, narrow-range consolidation, above fresh eight-month low at 1.4863, where weekly bear-channel support line contained strong fall from 1.5237, 11 Dec peak. Technicals remain negative and favor bearish resumption, but prolonged consolidation, with corrective upticks, is expected to precede, as daily slow Stochastic is oversold. Initial resistance lies at psychological 1.50 level, also Fibonacci 38.2% of 1.5237/1.4863 downleg, where corrective rallies should be ideally capped. Falling daily 20SMA, also mid-point of 1.5237/1.4863 descend, marks pivotal barrier and sustained break here would be a signal of stronger correction. Res: 1.4927; 1.4948; 1.5000; 1.5050 Sup: 1.4863; 1.4830; 1.4812; 1.4737 USDJPY The pair returns to directionless near-term mode, holding within narrow range today, after posting fresh low at 120.82, where daily Ichimoku cloud **** contained. Yesterday’s trading was shaped in long-legged Doji and entrenched within daily cloud (120.82/121/49), signaling indecision. Overall structure remains weak and sees risk of bearish resumption through daily cloud ****, towards pivotal support at 120.33, higher low of 14 Dec. On the upside, daily cloud top is reinforced by sideways-moving 200SMA and marks trigger for stronger recovery, on sustained break higher. Res: 121.29; 121.50; 122.18; 122.50 Sup: 121.03; 120.82; 120.56; 120.33 AUDUSD The pair establishes above 0.72 handle on today’s strong acceleration higher, which extends two-day recovery from 0.7095, 17 Dec low. Fresh rallies probe above daily 20 SMA, also 50% of 0.7383/0.7095 fall and focus next barrier at 0.7280 zone, lower tops of 15/16 Dec and just above Fibonacci 61.8% retracement. Daily technicals are gaining traction, with bullishly aligned near-term studies keep upside in focus. Close above 0.7280 is needed to confirm scenario. On the downside, session low at 0.7180, reinforced by daily 10SMA, offers solid support, above which corrective actions should be contained. Only loss of 0.7150, hourly higher **** and Fibonacci 61.8% of recovery from 0.7095, would neutralize near-term bulls. Res: 0.7280; 0.7300; 0.7332; 0.7383 Sup: 0.7198; 0.7180; 0.7150; 0.7130 [IMG]http://mediaserver.fxstreet.com/Reports/325f5b3f-7a7d-4768-8193-afec3573778f/audusd_20151222092112.png[/IMG] |
رد: Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:00 GMT) EURUSD The Euro consolidates within 1.0868/1.0982 range, holding in daily Ichimoku cloud, after recovery leg from 1.0801, low of 17 Dec, stalled under psychological 1.10 barrier. Bullish daily studies favor resumption of the upleg from 1.0801, for final attack at key 1.1058/55 barrier, former recovery top of 15 Dec, reinforced by daily Ichimoku cloud top and 100SMA. Break here is needed to signal resumption of larger recovery from 1.0519, low of 03 Dec and confirm trough at 1.0801. Near-term studies are bullishly aligned, with correction on overbought slow Stochastic, expected to precede fresh attacks at near-term range top. Daily Tenkan-sen offers initial support at 1.0929, near Fibonacci 38.2% of 1.0868/1.0977 upleg, which is expected to ideally contain dips. However, extension of corrective pullback should be contained above daily cloud **** at 1.0888, to keep near-term bulls in play. Otherwise, reversal under daily cloud and rising daily 20SMA, currently at 1.0875, will weaken the structure and expose range’s lower boundary for test. Res: 1.0982; 1.1009; 1.1042; 1.1058 Sup: 1.0929; 1.0909; 1.0888; 1.0875 GBPUSD Cable entered near-term consolidation under 1.4943 high, where recovery rally from fresh eight-month low at 1.4803, was capped by initial barrier, falling daily 10 SMA. Daily slow Stochastic is heading north, on reversal from oversold territory and sees room for further upside extension. However, firmly bearish daily studies, suggest limited upside action, before bears resume for clear break below cracked weekly channel support, currently at 1.4834, for final push towards key med-term support at 1.4563, annual low, posted on 14 Apr. Bullishly aligned near-term studies see potential for attempts above 10SMA barrier, towards next significant levels at 1.4969, Fibonacci 38.2% of 1.5237/1.4803 downleg, reinforced by 4-hour Ichimoku cloud **** and psychological 1.50 barrier, where extended rallies should be limited. Only close above falling daily 20SMA, currently at 1.5016, would sideline bears and signal stronger correction. Res: 1.4943; 1.4969; 1.5000; 1.5020 Sup: 1.4931, 1.4889; 1.4856; 1.4836 USDJPY The dollar bounces from fresh low at 120.05, posted today, on extension of steep fall from 123.53, 18 Dec peak. Last Friday’s fall left long bearish candle and closed below former low of 14 Dec at 120.33, signals fresh extension of bear-leg from 123.53. Psychological 120 support holds for now, with further recovery action signaled by oversold daily slow Stochastic. Initial barrier lies at 120.89, daily Ichimoku cloud **** and 23.6% of 123.53/120.05 downleg, followed by Fibonacci 38.2% retracement at 121.38 and 200SMA at 121.58, which is expected to cap extended rallies. On the downside, daily close below cracked Fibonacci 61.8% retracement of 118.05/123.74 rally at 120.22 and sustained break below 120.00 handle, is needed to confirm bearish resumption. Res: 120.89; 121.38; 121.58; 121.79 Sup: 120.33; 120.05; 119.60; 119.39 AUDUSD Recovery rally from 0.7095 low struggles at strong 0.7280 barrier, former tops of 15/16 Dec and Fibonacci 61.8% of 0.7383/0.7095 downleg. Near-term price action consolidates within narrow range, with bullish setup of daily studies being supportive, but overbought slow Stochastic, warning of possible recovery stall. Sideways-moving daily 20SMA offers initial support at 0.7241, followed 0.7207, 4-hour chart trough and Fibonacci 38.2% of 0.7095/0.7280 upleg, loss of which would be initial signal of stronger pullback. Downside breakpoint lies at 0.7160 zone, Fibonacci 61.8% retracement and thin daily Ichimoku cloud. Conversely, daily close above 0.7280 will give initial bullish signal of further retracement of 0.7383/0.7095 downleg. Res: 0.7280; 0.7315; 0.7332; 0.7383 Sup: 0.7253; 0.7241; 0.7207; 0.7166 [IMG]http://mediaserver.fxstreet.com/Reports/325f5b3f-7a7d-4768-8193-afec3573778f/audusd_20151228084924.png[/IMG] |
رد: Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:00 GMT) وعليكم السلام ورحمة الله وبركاتة الله يعطيك الصحة علي هذا الشرح الممتع |
رد: Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:00 GMT) EURUSD The Euro was down 10.28% against the US dollar in 2015, ending year under psychological 1.10 barrier. Low of the year 2015 at 1.0461, posted in March, remained intact, despite repeated attempts lower, which were contained just above 1.05 handle. Weekly and monthly technicals remain bearish and favor further downside attempts, after completion of med-term consolidation, entrenched within 1.0461 and 1.1712 range, where the pair spent most of the time in 2015. On the other side, daily studies gained bullish tone, on bounce from December’s low at 1.0519 and point at the upside. Short-term price action is holding between 1.08 higher **** and 1.1058, 15 Dec high, where recovery rally was capped by sideways-moving 200SMA. These marks initial sup/res levels, with break of either side of the range, needed to define fresh direction. Near-term price action entered daily Ichimoku cloud, **** of which offers immediate support at 1.0830, guarding 1.08 pivot. Return below 1.08 higher ****, would turn focus towards key supports at 1.0519 and 1.0461, lows of 03 Dec and 13 Mar 2015. Otherwise, violation of strong resistances at 1.1030/60 zone, 200SMA / daily Ichimoku cloud top / 15 Dec recovery top, would open way for stronger recovery towards net barrier at 1.15 zone, lower top of mid-Oct and key barrier at 1.1712, high of 2015. Res: 1.0990; 1.1030; 1.1060; 1.1120 Sup: 1.0800; 1.0720; 1.0645; 1.0520 GBPUSD Cable is in strong downtrend since June 2015, following reversal of recovery rally from 1.4564, 2015 low, which stalled at 1.5928. Bearish acceleration broke below 1.4833, bear-channel support on the weekly chart and looks for full retracement of 1.4564/1.5928 rally. Studies on larger timeframes hold firm bearish setup and keep downside in focus, with consolidation ahead of key 1.4564 support, expected on overextended daily indicators. Falling daily 10SMA offers initial resistance at 1.4840, followed by 1.4900, Fibonacci 38.2% of 1.5237/1.4690 downleg and lower top of 24 Dec at 1.4943, where extended correction should be capped. Only sustained break above psychological 1.50 barrier, would signal stronger correction and neutralize immediate downside threats. Res: 1.4840; 1.4900; 1.5000; 1.5095 Sup: 1.4690; 1.4630; 1.4564; 1.4500 USDJPY The pair traded within 115.80/125.85 congestion during the year 2015, after initial Jan / May rally stalled at 125.85 and subsequent pullback retraced over 61.8% of entire rally from 115.80, 2015 low. Daily and weekly studies turned into bearish mode, on renewed weakness from 123.75, mid-Nov lower platform, heading towards initial support at 118.00, Feb/May **** and 15 Oct low. Violation of the latter will expose annual lows at 116/115.80 zone, which also mark the floor of year-long congestion and pivotal support zone, loss of which would signal stronger correction of broader ascend from 78.00 zone, lows of 2012. Significant bearish signal was generated on break below, 119.76, multi-year bull-trendline, drawn off 78.00. Psychological 120 level, offers initial resistance, ahead of lower top at 120.64, which guards daily Ichimoku cloud **** at 120.89 and is expected to ideally cap rallies. Double Death-Cross of 10/200 and 20/200SMA’s, confirms strong bearish pressure and marks the upper breakpoint at 121.60. Res: 120.00; 120.65; 120.89; 121.60 Sup: 118.69; 118.00; 116.86; 116.00 AUDUSD Aussie was down 11% from Jan 2015 high at 0.8180, to 0.6906, low of the year, posted in September. The pair trades in short-term consolidative phase above 0.6906 low, following sharp two-legged fall that commenced from 2014 high at 0.9443 and found temporary ground at 0.6906. Consolidation is expected to precede fresh leg lower, extension of multi-year downtrend from 1.1079, peak of 2011. Today’s fresh bearish acceleration, signals formation of lower top at 0.7325, 31 Dec high and shifts focus towards higher low of 17 Dec at 0.7095, loss of which to expose another pivot at 0.7014, higher low of 10 Nov. Thin daily Ichimoku cloud en-route, should not mark serious obstacle for freshly established near-term bears. On the daily chart, bullish alignment of technicals is losing traction, with violation of initial pivot at 0.7095, seen as trigger for further weakness, which would expose lower boundary of short-term congestion at 0.7014. Firmly bearish weekly and monthly studies support scenario of limited upside action, ahead of fresh leg lower. On the upside, top of recovery rally from 0.6906, at 0.7383, marks the upper breakpoint, above which, extended correction could be anticipated. Res: 0.7232; 0.7299; 0.7325; 0.7383 Sup: 0.7153; 0.7095; 0.7014; 0.6936 [IMG]http://mediaserver.fxstreet.com/Reports/325f5b3f-7a7d-4768-8193-afec3573778f/AUDUSDDaily_20160104135123.png[/IMG] |
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