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رد: Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:00 GMT) مشكوووووووور يعطيك العافية |
رد: Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:00 GMT) وعليكم السلام ورحمة الله وبركاتة سلمت يمينك علي هذا الشرح السهل والمبسط |
Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (13:30 GMT) EURUSD The Euro returned below broken bear-channel resistance line and daily 20SMA, above which it closed on Friday’s strong rally. Friday’s daily candle with very long tail, showed renewed buying interest, however, fresh bulls in Asia that initially peaked at 1.0967, were short-lived, keeping former tops at 1.0840 zone, cracked on Asian spike to 1.0967 high, still as good resistance. Setup of daily MA’s is mixed, along with daily indicators, hovering around their midlines and slow Stochastic entering overbought territory that indicates possible recovery stall. Fresh weakness off 1.0967 high was for now contained by hourly cloud top at 1.0870, which should act as ideal reversal point, to keep near-term bulls in play. However, lift above 1.09 barrier is seen as minimum requirement to signal fresh bulls and re-expose 1.0940/1.0967 pivots. Regain of lower platform at 1.0990, is needed to confirm bullish resumption. Conversely, penetration into thick hourly Ichimoku cloud, spanned between 1.0825 and 1.0870, would be seen as bearish signal, which needs confirmation on attack at clods ****. Res: 1.0900; 1.0938; 1.0967; 1.0990 Sup: 1.0870; 1.0852; 1.0825; 1.0800 [IMG]http://mediaserver.fxstreet.com/Reports/325f5b3f-7a7d-4768-8193-afec3573778f/eurusd_20160111130915.png[/IMG] GBPUSD Cable bounces from fresh 5 ½ year low at 1.4492, posted today on brief probe below psychological 1.45 support. Overall structure remains firmly bearish, as the pair closed on Friday below the last strong obstacle at 1.4563, 2015 low. The wave C, which commenced from 1.4943, 24 Dec lower top, met its 100% Fibonacci expansion at 1.4501 and could travel to 1.4332, 138.2% expansion, with key longer-term support at 1.4230, 20 May 2010 low, also Fibonacci 161.8% expansion, being in short-term focus. Consecutive strong bearish weekly close, supports the notion. However, corrective rally on oversold daily studies, is expected to precede. Initial barrier lies at 1.4600, **** of thin hourly cloud, with extended rallies to be capped under 1.4665, Fibonacci 38.2% retracement of 1.4943/1.4492 downleg, reinforced by falling daily 10SMA, which lies just above resistance. Alternatively, stronger correction could be anticipated on extension above 1.4771, Fibonacci 61.8% retracement. Res: 1.4600; 1.4643; 1.4665; 1.4701 Sup: 1.4519; 1.4492; 1.4450; 1.4400 [IMG]http://mediaserver.fxstreet.com/Reports/325f5b3f-7a7d-4768-8193-afec3573778f/gbpusd_20160111130845.png[/IMG] USDJPY The pair posted fresh 4 ½ month low at 116.67 today, on resumption of steep 6-day downleg from 120.64 lower top, which forms the wave C of larger downtrend from 123.53, 18 Dec peak. Long bearish weekly candle signals strong bears in play for further downside. The pair eyes next targets at 116.13, spike low of 24 Aug 2015 and 115.84/56, lows of Jan 2015 and Dec 2014, which also marks Fibonacci 138.2% expansion and floor of multi-month congestion. Break here is needed to signal major reversal of multi-year uptrend from 75.55, Oct 2011 low. Structure remains bearish overall and favors attack at 115.84/56 breakpoint zone, however, oversold slow Stochastic is turning higher and could spark stronger correction, before bears resume. Highs of last Thu/Fri at 118.75, reinforced by falling daily 10SMA, which currently lies at 119.11, should ideally cap rallies. Any stronger recovery attempts need to close above psychological 120 barrier, to sideline near-term bears. Res: 117.90; 118.75; 119.29; 120.10 Sup: 117.50; 117.08; 116.67; 116.13 [IMG]http://mediaserver.fxstreet.com/Reports/325f5b3f-7a7d-4768-8193-afec3573778f/usdjpy_20160111130817.png[/IMG] AUDUSD Aussie consolidates strong 5-day fall, which briefly extended today and posted new low at 0.6925, just ahead of key 0.6906 support, low of 2015. The pair is looking for full retracement of multi-month 0.6906/0.7383 correction phase, to resume larger bear-trend from 1.1079, peak of July 2011. Meantime, corrective bounce on oversold conditions is likely to precede final push to 0.6906 breakpoint, as daily slow Stochastic is reversing in oversold territory. Good offers lay at 0.7080/95 zone, last Thu/Fri highs, also Fibonacci 38.2% retracement of 0.7325/0.6925 downleg and former low of 17 Dec and should be ideally capping recovery attempts. Res: 0.7020; 0.7080; 0.7095; 0.7150 Sup: 0.6925; 0.6906; 0.6850; 0.6800 |
رد: Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:00 GMT) EURUSD The pair remains under pressure and moves lower, approaching initial support at 1.08, last Friday’s post NFP low. Bears are taking control on daily technicals, as probe below daily 55SMA at 1.0830, is turning setup of daily MA’s into full bearish mode and indicators are moving into negative territory. Firm break below 1.0810/00, Fibonacci 61.8% of 1.0713/1.0967 upleg / Friday’s low, which marks the first pivot, would open next significant support at 1.0772, daily Ichimoku cloud ****, loss of which to expose key 1.0709/13 higher ****, for full retracement of recovery leg from 1.0709, 05 Jan low. Res: 1.0858; 1.0885; 1.0940; 1.0967 Sup: 1.0800; 1.0770; 1.0725; 1.0709 GBPUSD Cable is in near-term consolidation above fresh multi-year low at 1.4350, posted yesterday, just ahead of June 2010 low at 1.4344 and our target at 1.4331, Fibonacci 138.2% expansion of extended wave C from 1.4943. Further upside attempts could be expected as daily studies are oversold and slow Stochastic reversed and emerged from oversold territory. However, overall bears are looking for fresh extension lower, after completion of consolidative phase. Former target and lows of 08/11 Jan at 1.4500, offer initial barrier, followed by 1.4576, Fibonacci 38.2% of 1.4943/1.4350 downleg and falling daily 10SMA at 1.4613, below which, extended corrective attempts should be capped. Renewed weakness through 1.4350/31 pivots, would open way towards next target at 1.4230, trough of Apr 2010. Res: 1.4473; 1.4500; 1.4576; 1.4613 Sup: 1.4416; 1.4350; 1.4331; 1.4230 USDJPY The pair resumes recovery above 118 barrier, which acted as strong resistance and capped past two days recovery attempts. Today’s fresh strength sees risk of formation of Bear-Trap reversal pattern, with daily close above 118 handle, required to confirm. Extension above 118.00 pivot and 118.20, Fibonacci 38.2% of 120.64/116.67 downleg, is looking for next pivot at 118.63, falling daily 10SMA and 50% retracement, break of which will generate fresh bullish signal and expose 119.12, Fibonacci 61.8% retracement level. Otherwise, upside rejection and return below 118 handle would neutralize idea of reversal pattern formation and subsequent stronger correction. Res: 118.63; 119.12; 119.70; 120.00 Sup: 118.00; 117.62; 117.21; 116.67 AUDUSD The pair probes above near-term consolidation top at 0.7034, as fresh strength emerges after two long-legged daily candles that signaled initial hesitation. Daily slow Stochastic is heading north, after reversing from oversold territory and generates bullish signal. Extension above psychological 0.7000 barrier, requires daily close above here, following double failure in past two days, to signal stronger recovery. The pair now trades in the fourth, corrective wave from 0.6925, as a part of five-wave descend that commenced from 0.7383, 04 Dec high. The wave could extend to 0.7155, according to wave principles, where daily Ichimoku cloud **** and daily 20SMA are expected to cap extended correction. However, overall structure remains firmly bearish and is expected to commence fresh leg lower on attempts at key 0.6906 support, on completion of near-term corrective phase. Res: 0.7073; 0.7095; 0.7125; 0.7155 Sup: 0.7034; 0.7000; 0.6972; 0.6950 [IMG]http://mediaserver.fxstreet.com/Reports/325f5b3f-7a7d-4768-8193-afec3573778f/audusd_20160113094827.png[/IMG] |
رد: Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:00 GMT) مشكوووووور والله يعطيك الف عافيه |
Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (10:00 GMT) EURUSD The Euro extends two-day recovery from 1.0787, hourly higher ****, formed on downside rejection towards pivotal 1.0776 support, 21 Jan low. Recovery rally penetrated into daily Ichimoku cloud, on probe above cloud **** at 1.0859. Rally was so far capped by 30SMA at 1.0880, keeping intact psychological 1.0900 barrier. Near-term studies are bullishly aligned, while daily indicators hold in neutral territory and MA’s show mixed setup and daily Bollinger bands are contracting Downside remains in focus in the near-term, however, return to 1.0787/76 pivots, is needed to confirm bearish resumption and expose key short-term support at 1.0709, 04/05 Jan lows and the lower boundary of short-term range, entrenched between 1.0709 and 1.0990. Conversely, break above 1.09 barrier would sideline downside risk, but sustained break above 1.0925, Fibonacci 61.8% of 1.1058/1.0709 descend, is needed to confirm bullish resumption and expose daily Ichimoku cloud top at 1.1006. Res: 1.0883; 1.0925; 1.0983; 1.1006 Sup: 1.0848; 1.0817; 1.0787; 1.0776 GBPUSD Cable is trading in extended corrective fourth wave off 1.4078 low, which peaked at 1.4365, on yesterday’s acceleration higher. Recovery so far holds below pivotal 1.4408/35 barrier, Fibonacci 38.2% of 1.4943/1.4078 downleg / falling daily 20SMA, which are expected to ideally cap recovery. Near-term studies are bullishly aligned, while overall picture remains firmly bearish. Daily RSI is turning lower, momentum studies are negative and slow Stochastic is attempting to turn lower at overbought zone’s border. Broken daily 10SMA and Tenkan-sen line at 1.4263/51 zone, now offer strong support and break below here is needed to confirm reversal and turn focus towards 1.4078, 21 Jan low. Res: 1.4365; 1.4408; 1.4435; 1.4510 Sup: 1.4290; 1.4250; 1.4171; 1.4145 [IMG]http://mediaserver.fxstreet.com/Reports/325f5b3f-7a7d-4768-8193-afec3573778f/gbpusd_20160127095052.png[/IMG] USDCAD The pair consolidates above 1.4100 handle, after posting fresh low at 1.4042, on yesterday’s bearish acceleration. Reversal of oil prices, stopped yesterday’s strong fall, but latest oil dip, did not show stronger impact on USDCAD’s near-term price action. However, yesterday’s close in long red candle that formed bearish outside day, gives negative signal, as the pair closed below important supports: daily 20SMA at 1.4213 and Fibonacci 61.8% of 1.3808/1.4688 at 1.4144. Setup of daily MA’s is mixed, indicators are bearishly aligned, but slow Stochastic is oversold and is attempting to turn higher. This suggests further consolidation, with negative sentiment in play, while initial barrier, daily 20SMA caps. Break here would ease immediate downside risk and expose current congestion top and upside pivot at 1.4323, reinforced by reversed daily 10SMA, currently at 1.4343. On the downside, yesterday’s low and congestion **** at 1.4042, marks initial support, followed by psychological 1.40 and more significant 1.3978, Fibonacci 38.2% of Oct-Jan 1.2829/1.4688 rally, loss of which will confirm bears. Primary trend remains firmly bullish, but overbought conditions on larger timeframes, suggest deeper correction. Res: 1.4154; 1.4195; 1.4212; 1.4289 Sup: 1.4259; 1.4207; 1.4160; 1.4112 AUDUSD The pair rides on the fourth, corrective wave, which commenced from 0.6826 and is part of five-wave descend from 0.7383, 04 Dec 2015 high. Fresh acceleration higher, probes above daily 20SMA at 0.7019 and approaches ideal reversal point at 0.7055 zone, where the fourth wave should end, according to wave principles. Barrier is reinforced by daily Kijun-sen line, which lies at 0.7075 and also marks the mid-point of 0.7325/0.6825 downleg. Daily slow Stochastic is approaching overbought territory, which may support reversal theory. Otherwise, extended fourth wave will look for next barrier at 0.7085, descending daily 30SMA and next pivot at 0.7134, Fibonacci 61.8% of 0.7325/0.6825 downleg. Broken daily 20SMA offers initial support at 0.7020, followed by session low at 0.6990 and daily 10SMA at 0.6952. Res: 0.7055; 0.7075; 0.7100; 0.7134 Sup: 0.7020; 0.6990; 0.6952; 0.6917 [IMG]http://mediaserver.fxstreet.com/Reports/325f5b3f-7a7d-4768-8193-afec3573778f/audusd_20160127094952.png[/IMG] |
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