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رد: Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:00 GMT) EUR/USD The Euro maintains negative sentiment, with extension of pullback from1.3414, below 1.3100, Fib 50% of 1.2795/1.3414, posting fresh three-week low at 1.3058. Consolidative /corrective phase is under way, with price attempting through the upper boundary of consolidation range, for test of initial resistance at 1.3160, and 1.3200, Fib 38.2% of 1.3414/1.3058 fall. Slightly improved hourly studies see some upside potential, however, larger picture’s negative structure keeps the downside favored, as long as 1.3253, last Friday’s high stays intact. Bearish resumption below 1.3058, to open 1.3031, Fib 61.8% and psychological 1.3000 support next. Res: 1.3160, 1.3200, 1.3236, 1.3253 Sup: 1.3100, 1.3058, 1.3031, 1.3000 GBP/USD Near-term recovery phase off fresh low at 1.5342, retraced 61.8% of 1.5528/1.5342 downleg, at 1.5460 zone, where gains were capped. Positive hourly structure sees potential for further recovery towards more significant 1.5500 barrier, Fib 38.2% of 1.5751/1.5342 slide and 1.5528, last Friday’s high, however, prevailing negative tone on 4h chart would keep the downside at risk, as long as the price holds below initial 1.5500 barrier. Initial support lies at 1.5425 and is reinforced by 20 day EMA, with break here and psychological 1.5400 level, to hint lower top formation and fresh weakness towards 1.5342 and possible bearish resumption towards 1.5300 zone, initial target and Fib 61.8% of 1.5007/1.5751 ascend. Res: 1.5464, 1.5500, 1.5528, 1.5564 Sup: 1.5425, 1.5400, 1.5367, 1.5342 USD/JPY The pair is trading in near-term consolidative mode, after extending rally from 93.78 to 98.69, near 50% of 103.72/93.78 descend. Hourly studies are weak, as the price hovers close to the range floor, however, more constructive 4h technicals see potential for further recovery, as the price is supported by 20 day EMA and 20/55 bullish crossover, with 96.85 expected to hold. Immediate targets lay at 99.00 and 99.27, 10 June high, break of which to confirm bottom at 93.78 and open way towards psychological 100 barrier, also Fib 61.8% of 103.72/93.78. Alternative scenario sees increased downside risk on violation of 96.85 support, with 96.23, 50% of recovery rally and 96.00, round figure support, expected to come in focus once 96.85 is cleared. Res: 98.05, 98.30, 98.69, 99.00 Sup: 97.20, 97.00, 96.85, 96.23 AUD/USD The pair trades in a near-term consolidative mode, after fresh extension of larger downtrend, posted new low at 0.9146. With the upside being limited at 0.9300 and near-term studies negatively aligned, fresh extension lower and test of next target at 0.9100, would be likely near-term scenario. Conversely, lift above 0.9300 and 0.9324, 11 June low, would delay bears in favor of possible stronger corrective action towards 0.9400/30, next resistance zone. However, overall bearish tone, do not see potential for more significant recovery action for now. Res: 0.9300, 0.9324, 0.9354, 0.9400 Sup: 0.9200, 0.9146, 0.9100, 0.9050 |
رد: Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:00 GMT) EURUSD The Euro consolidates recent losses, trading above 1.2980, daily cloud top, where basing attempt is becoming evident. Bounce above 1.3000 that retraced over 61.8% of last Friday’s sharp fall from 1.3102 to 1.2990, improves hourly structure, however, the price remains within the consolidative range. Bullish divergence on 4-hour chart signals possible stronger rally that requires break and daily close above 200DMA at 1.3070 and clearance of 1.3100 barrier, to confirm **** and allow for further correction towards 1.3148/99, Fibonacci 38.2% and 50% retracement of 1.3414/1.2983 fall. On the other side, failure to break above 1.3100 would signal further sideways trade and keep the downside at risk. Res: 1.3069; 1.3102; 1.3148; 1.3200 Sup: 1.3048; 1.3020; 1.3000; 1.2983 GBPUSD Cable enters short-term sideways trade, consolidating above fresh 3-week low at 1.5164. Initial barriers at 1.5280/1.5300, 100DMA / daily cloud top stay intact for now, as short-term indicators hold in the negative territory. This keeps the downside vulnerable, as violation of 1.5164 would trigger fresh weakness towards 1.5100. Conversely, penetration through 1.5300, would be seen as initial signal of possible stronger correction, with regain of 1.5345, 27/06 high, required to confirm. Res: 1.5248; 1.5277; 1.5300; 1.5342 Sup: 1.5200; 1.5164; 1.5109; 1.5032 USDJPY The pair continues to trend higher, as three consecutive days of higher closing, followed consolidative phase, showed by last week’s triple Doji. The price approaches initial target and psychological barrier at 100.00, also near Fibonacci 61.8% of 103.72/93.78 fall, with upper targets being in focus. Short-term studies remain positive, with 4-hour RSI / MACD bearish divergence, suggesting possible hesitation ahead of important 100 resistance. Supports at 99.00/98.70 are seen as ideal reversal point of any stronger dips, with break above 100.00 barrier, expected to open 100.45, 06/06 high and 101.00, round figure resistance. Res: 99.85; 100.00; 100.45; 101.00 Sup: 99.50; 99.00; 98.70; 98.51 AUDUSD The Aussie dollar fell below 0.9200 after the short-term corrective phase, off 0.9100 zone, was capped at 0.9250, 61.8% retracement of 0.9343/0.9111. Weakened hourly technicals see increased downside risk as 4-hour studies are still negative. Break above initial 0.9250 barrier is required to revive bulls, while clearance of 0.9343, last week’s high and near 50% retracement of larger 0.9555/0.9111 fall, would spark further recovery and open next targets at 0.9385/0.9400. Otherwise, return to 0.9100 **** and possible resumption of the larger downtrend would be the likely scenario, as larger picture bears remain fully in play. Res: 0.9200; 0.9230; 0.9281; 0.9300 Sup: 0.9150; 0.9111; 0.9050; 0.9000 |
رد: Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:00 GMT) تمام تقبل مروري |
رد: Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:00 GMT) EURUSD The Euro fell further on Friday and ended week just above strong support at 1.2795, 17/05 low, losing 1.78% for the week. Negative tone keeps the price pressured for full retracement of 1.2795/1.3414 upleg, as the price broke below bull-trendline, connecting 1.2744/1.2795 lows. Scope is seen for eventual push lower for test of 1.2744/50 double-bottom and completion of bull phase the commenced from these levels. Brief consolidation above Friday’s fresh low is triggered by oversold conditions, with any stronger rally, expected to find strong barrier at 1.2955, 50% retracement of 1.3102/1.2805 downleg / daily Ichimoku cloud ****. Res: 1.2870; 1.2920; 1.2955; 1.2989 Sup: 1.2805; 1.2795; 1.2750; 1.2700 GBPUSD Cable remains under increased pressure, with fresh weakness, seen last Friday, losing 23/29 / 05 double-bottom and psychological support at 1.5000 and accelerating losses below 1.4900 handle, to post fresh 4-month low at 1.4856. After completing 1.5000/1.5751 upleg, the pair is looking for test of another important support at 1.4830, 12/03 low / near 61.8% retracement of longer-term 1.3501/1.7041 ascend, to fully reverse larger bull phase. With bears dominating on larger and lower timeframes studies, further weakness is seen favored, with bears to be interrupted by limited corrective rallies on oversold short-term conditions. Former lower platform and 50% retracement of 1.5303/1.4856 downleg at 1.5080, offers solid resistance and is expected to cap. Res: 1.4915; 1.4960; 1.5000; 1.5026 Sup: 1.4856; 1.4830; 1.4800; 1.4780 USDJPY The pair rallied strongly on Friday, with acceleration higher started from higher **** at 100.00 and completed 100.84/99.25 corrective phase. Break and weekly close above 101.00 barrier, suggests further appreciation, with initial targets standing at 101.79, 30/05 high and psychological 102.00 barrier. Extension above the latter is expected to open May’s lower platform at 102.50. Prevailing positive tone on short-term studies, supports the notion, with corrective pullback on overbought conditions, expected to precede fresh rallies. Good support lies at 100.40 zone, 50% of 99.25/101.52 upleg / 05/07 high and is seen as ideal reversal point. Res: 101.52; 101.79; 102.00; 102.56 Sup: 100.84; 100.65; 100.40; 100.00 AUDUSD The Aussie dollar came under pressure and ended the week in red, after recovery rally stalled at 0.9179 and fresh bearish acceleration left a double-top. Quick reversal nearly fully retraced 0.9035/0.9179, short-term corrective phase. Bears look for break below 0.9035, 03/07 low that guards psychological 0.9000 support and 0.8959, Fibonacci 100% expansion of the downwave that commenced from 1.0581. Bearish 20/55 DMA’s crossover at 0.9115, maintains bears, while only rally above 0.9179 barrier would delay bears. Res: 0.9100; 0.9121; 0.9179; 0.9200 Sup: 0.9035; 0.9000; 0.8959; 0.8900 |
رد: Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:00 GMT) EURUSD The Euro trades in a consolidative mode, off fresh low at 1.2805, posted last Friday and ended Monday’s trading in a positive tone. Recovery rally is so far capped at 1.2880 zone, Fibonacci 38.2% of 1.3016/1.2805 descend / hourly linear regression channel upper line. Hourly studies are positively aligned and see potential for stronger correction above 1.2911, 50% retracement and pivotal 1.2930 zone, 61.8% / 03/07 low; 04/07 high. However, prevailing negative tone on 4-hour chart, sees the recovery limited for now. On the downside, 1.2800 zone offers initial support and guards key 1.2750 double-bottom and annual low. Res: 1.2911; 1.2935; 1.2966; 1.3000 Sup: 1.2845; 1.2805; 1.2795; 1.2780 GBPUSD Cable corrects recent losses that bottomed at 1.4856 last Friday, with basing attempt under way. Break above 1.4900 barrier, gives more credibility to the support, however, regain of minimum 1.5000 handle is required to signal ****, while confirmation requires extension to 1.5080, 50% retracement of 1.5303/1.4856 / 04/07 lower platform. Improved hourly studies are supportive for further recovery, while 4-hour indicators hold well in the negative territory and see limited upside prospect. Larger picture bears see scope for final push lower, to fully retrace larger 1.4830/1.5751 bull-phase, with break lower to target psychological 1.4800 support and 1.4793, Fibonacci 161.8% expansion of the down leg from 1.5751. Res: 1.5000; 1.5027; 1.5080; 1.5100 Sup: 1.4919; 1.4871; 1.4856; 1.4830 USDJPY Dollar/yen consolidates gains that peaked at 101.52, with pullback being so far contained 100.80 zone, daily cloud top / hourly 55 DMA. Overall positive tone keeps the upside in focus, with any further easing, expected to hold above psychological 100 support, to keep bulls intact. Upside targets remain at 101.52 and 102.00/56. Res: 101.52; 101.79; 102.00; 102.56 Sup: 100.84; 100.65; 100.40; 100.00 AUDUSD The pair remains within 0.9035/0.9179 consolidative range, as bears found ground at 0.9035 and price bounces. As recovery rally from 0.9035 extends above 0.9100 barrier, scope is seen for possible test of key short-term hurdle at 0.9179. Break here is required to confirm double-bottom formation and to spark stronger recovery above 0.9200. Positive hourly studies, with 4-hour indicators in heading north, support the notion. Downside should stay protected at 0.9100, to keep freshly established bulls in play. Res: 0.9179; 0.9200; 0.9225; 0.9252 Sup: 0.9100; 0.9081; 0.9035; 0.9000 |
رد: Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:00 GMT) EURUSD The Euro ended Tuesday’s trading in red after breaking below 1.2795 support and posting fresh low at 1.2754, where weekly Ichimoku cloud **** contained dips, just ahead of key 1.2750/44 support. Eventual push below the latter that also marks multi-month platform, is required to complete weekly Head and Shoulders pattern that would trigger more significant losses, with round figure 1.2700 support and 1.2660, November 2012 low, seen as next targets. Consolidative actions may precede fresh weakness, as technical hold firm bearish tone, with 1.2800/50 zone expected to cap. Only lift above 1.29 barrier would ease immediate bear pressure. Res: 1.2800; 1.2850; 1.2880; 1.2900 Sup: 1.2777; 1.2754; 1.2744; 1.2700 GBPUSD Cable broke below the last obstacle at 1.4830, 12/03 low and posted fresh annual low on a dip to 1.4812 so far. Hesitation ahead of psychological 1.4800 support, is seen likely, with key barriers at 1.4980/1.5000 protecting the upside. Bearish resumption below 1.4800, sees no significant obstacles en-route towards 1.4345/1.4230, Jun / May 2010 lows and short-term targets. Res: 1.5910; 1.4980; 1.5000; 1.5057 Sup: 1.4919; 1.4871; 1.4856; 1.4830 USDJPY Sort-term structure weakened, as the price broke below 100.75, two-day consolidation range and cracked the next support at 100.40, 50% retracement of 99.25/101.52 upleg. Negative hourly studies keep the downside in focus, however, reversal above 100.00 support, would keep broader bulls in play for fresh attempt higher. Conversely, loss of 100 handle is expected to sideline bulls and allow for stronger correction. Res: 100.75; 101.00; 101.29; 101.52 Sup: 100.28; 100.00; 99.48; 99.25 AUDUSD The pair extended short-term recovery rally from 0.9035 **** after clearing previous strong barrier at 0.9179. Short-term price action gets congested at 0.9200 barrier, as the price fails to break higher and enters consolidative mode. Short-term bulls would remain intact while range bottom at 0.9130 zone holds and would look for further recovery towards 0.9250, 01/07 high and 0.9300, 50% of 0.9555/0.9035. Res: 0.9225; 0.9252; 0.9270; 0.9343 Sup: 0.9130; 0.9100; 0.9081; 0.9035 |
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