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WindsorBrokers 07-31-2013 10:34 AM

رد: Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:00 GMT)
 
EURUSD
The Euro trades in extended consolidative phase, confirmed by Tuesday’s Doji, with the price action holding above bull-trendline, off 1.2992 and dips being contained at 50% of 1.3164/1.3300 upleg. Tuesday’s test of 1.3300 barrier keeps the upside favored, with positive 4-hour studies supporting the notion. Clearance of range top at 1.3300 is required to signal resumption of larger uptrend from 1.2754 and expose short-term target at 1.3414. Conversely, extension below 1.3233 range floor, would delay bulls, while loss of 1.3200/1.3164 supports would neutralize short-term bulls.
Res: 1.3271; 1.3300; 1.3325; 1.3400
Sup: 1.3233; 1.3216; 1.3200; 1.3164
GBPUSD
Cable accelerated lower after repeated failures at near-term range tops at 1.5400 zone. Completion of daily diamond reversal pattern and loss of initial support and range floor at 1.5262, signals increased downside risk. The fall dented 11/07 high at 1.5220, bringing important support at 1.5200, Fibonacci 38.2% of 1.4812/1.5433, in focus. Break lower to signal near-term top and allow for deeper reversal towards 1.5122, 50% retracement and 1.5100, round figure support. Negative near-term studies favor further downside, with corrective rallies on oversold conditions to be ideally capped under 1.5350 barrier.
Res: 1.5249; 1.5262; 1.5300; 1.5327
Sup: 1.5200; 1.5157; 1.5122; 1.5100
USDJPY
The pair trades in near-term consolidative mode off 97.60 support zone, where 50% retracement of 93.78/101.52 and daily Ichimoku cloud ****, offered temporary support for the fall from 100.44, 25/07 high. Sideways mode is confirmed by double-Doji candle. Negative tone prevails on 4-hour studies and sees current consolidation preceding fresh leg lower, as strong bearish signal was given on a completion of Head and Shoulders pattern on 4-hour chart and daily failure swing. Break below 97.60 to open round figure support at 97.00 and 96.74, Fibonacci 61.8% retracement. Only extension through initial barrier at 98.45, 100DMA, would provide near-term relief and give initial signal of stronger recovery.
Res: 98.15; 98.45; 98.70; 99.00
Sup: 97.62; 97.22; 96.95; 96.74
AUDUSD
The Aussie came under increased pressure on Tuesday, as downside acceleration was triggered on a break below previous low at 0.9127 and psychological 0.9100 support. Completion of 0.8997/0.9316 corrective phase is seen as likely scenario, as the price approaches key support at 0.8997, 12/07 fresh low, break of which to commence fresh bear-leg, as a part of larger downtrend. Hesitation ahead of 0.8997 support, may be triggered by oversold near-term studies, while regain of 0.9157, range’s midpoint, would avert downside risk and signal prolonged sideways trading.
Res: 0.9100; 0.9127; 0.9175; 0.9200
Sup: 0.9011; 0.8997; 0.8900; 0.8861
GOLD
Spot Gold showed no changes in Tuesday’s trading, compared to previous sessions, as near-term 1308/40 range remains intact. Price action oscillates around range’s mid-point at 1324. Near-term studies hold neutral tone, as the price remains in sideways mode. However, positive daily studies keep the upside in focus, with completion of bullish pennant and extension above 1347 peak, required to resume larger rally from 1180 low. Alternative scenario sees loss of 1308/00 support zone to bring bears in play.
Res: 1340; 1347; 1355; 1366
Sup: 1330; 1324; 1317; 1313

WindsorBrokers 08-06-2013 10:12 AM

رد: Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:00 GMT)
 
EUR/USD
The pair currently lacks a trend on the H1 chart with range trading between 1.3300 and 1.3230, this range was further narrowed during the Asian session. This lack of trend makes it difficult to get any good signals from our technical indicators. The outlook remains as before, if we see a break above 1.3300 then this will open the way for 31st July high 1.3345, while a drop below 1.3230 makes leaves the next support at 1.3190 (low of 1st & 2nd of July).
USD Trade balance at 12:30pm GMT is the figure to monitor today with the deficit expected to decrease from 45B to 43.1B
Res: 1.3415, 1.3380 1.3345, 1.3300
Sup: 1.3230, 1.3190, 1.3165, 1.3145
GBP/USD
Better than expected UK Services PMI caused the sterling to jump 40 pips breaking resistances and finally setting the daily high at 1.5375, which we will take as today’s resistance. Since then it retraced finding support at 1.5315. If it manages to hold above this level, then the outlook remains bullish with key target at 1.5430, the previous uptrend high reached on 25th of July
UK Manufacturing Production m/m is at 8:30am GMT with expectation of 0.9% much higher than the previous -0.8%
Res: 1.5530, 1.5475, 1.5430, 1.5375
Sup: 1.5315, 1.5250, 1.5180, 1.5100
USD/JPY
Yen continues its fall breaking 98.27 support (previous low), the current downtrend on the H1 chart is from 99.93 (2nd Aug) to today’s low 97.82. Currently it’s still in retracement mode rising more than 65 pips to currently trade near 98.50. The biggest barrier to the current downtrend would be 97.60, a support it failed to break many times during 31st Jul to 1st Aug sessions and that ended the previous downtrend.
Res: 100.40, 100.00, 99.15, 98.80
Sup: 97.82, 97.60, 97.20, 97.00
AUD/USD
Australia’s currency rose against the U.S. dollar breaking 0.8950 resistance switching the outlook from bearish to bullish and making key psychological level 0.9000 the next target of the bulls. Since hitting a 3 year low at 0.8845, the Aussie has regained 145 pips.
Australia's central bank cut its main cash rate by a quarter point to a record low of 2.5 percent on Tuesday as it tries to prepare the economy for life after the mining boom. A move already factored in the market
Res: 0.9100, 0.9075, 0.9045, 0.9000
Sup: 0.8845, 0.8810, 0.8760, 0.8620
Gold
Gold falls back below 1300 support and looks heading towards 2nd of August low 1283. This came after it twice failed rise above 1320. Currently it’s trading below both moving averages 20 & 55 with RSI also showing clear downward trend line on the H1 chart. Gold prices have been steadily dropping since the 23rd of July from 1348
The decline comes as investors wrestle with uncertainty about the Federal Reserve’s timeline for reducing the flow of monetary stimulus.
Res: 1365, 1348, 1331, 1320
Sup: 1283, 1270, 1260, 1243

WindsorBrokers 08-07-2013 09:45 AM

رد: Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:00 GMT)
 
EUR/USD
Finally EURUSD manages to achieve a daily high yesterday above 1.3300 resistance reaching 1.3323. Since then it retraced 45 pips to 1.3280. The outlook remains bullish as long as trading is maintained above 1.3230 with key target 1.3345 in sight (31 July high).
The pair is supported after a round of upbeat economic data including a climb in German manufacturing orders in June and a narrower contraction in Italy’s GDP in the 2nd quarter
Res: 1.3415, 1.3380 1.3345, 1.3320
Sup: 1.3230, 1.3190, 1.3165, 1.3145
GBP/USD
With multiple attempts by the cable to continue its uptrend, it managed to achieve a new high of 1.5390, however we didn’t see candles close above 1.5375 resistances on the H1 chart to consider it broken so the resistance level still holds. Prices did drop after that to 1.5315 and found support there as was expected
At 09:30 am GMT Bank of England Governor will hold a press conference along with the release of the Inflation Report
Res: 1.5530, 1.5475, 1.5430, 1.5375
Sup: 1.5315, 1.5250, 1.5180, 1.5100
USD/JPY
Sharp moves on the Yen breaking 3 supports during yesterdays and today’s trading. The 130 pip drop broke supports 97.82, 97.60, and 97.20 to achieve a low at 97.08. They key support it managed to break was 97.60 which it failed to do multiple times to do during 29th – 31st July period. Currently it’s trading at lowest price since 25th Jun
Asian stock markets traded broadly lower Wednesday after overnight losses in the U.S. on monetary-policy concerns, with Japan taking an especially heavy hit from gains for the yen
Res: 100.00, 99.15, 98.80, 98.15
Sup: 96.80, 96.20, 95.75, 94.80
AUD/USD
We see a triple top at key psychological resistance level 0.9000 proving itself a difficult barrier for the current uptrend on the H1 chart. This failure rise caused the RSI to form a downward trend line indicating a loss of buying momentum. However prices are still above 55 moving average and daily pivot point 0.8900
The Aussie on Tuesday briefly fell after the Reserve Bank of Australia cut its key interest rate by a quarter-percentage point to 2.5%, but it bounced off intraday lows, with some analysts saying the bank’s statement carried a less-dovish tone
Res: 0.9100, 0.9075, 0.9045, 0.9000
Sup: 0.8900, 0.8845, 0.8810, 0.8760,
Gold
The break of 1283 support indicated the strength of the current downtrend from 1348 (24th July) to current low of 1273. This leaves 1270 and 1260 targets within reach. Gold prices extended declines into a seventh consecutive day today as the outlook for US Fed monetary-stimulus tapering strengthened.
Res: 1348, 1331, 1320, 1300
Sup: 1270, 1260, 1250, 1243

WindsorBrokers 08-12-2013 11:16 AM

رد: Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:00 GMT)
 
EUR/USD
We do see a reversal pattern for the current uptrend on the EURUSD. The pair made a double top near the resistance level 1.3400 before continuing to drop dropping 80 pips. On the HI chart we can safely say the uptrend ended as we trading is currently below the 55 period exponential moving average.
U.S. data due out this week include retail sales and housing starts for July. Also, Atlanta Federal Reserve Bank President Dennis Lockhart and St. Louis Fed President James Bullard are each scheduled to speak
Res: 1.3435, 1.3415, 1.3400, 1.3365
Sup: 1.3290, 1.3265, 1.3220, 1.3200
GBP/USD
As the euro, we see a double top reversal pattern for the cable near the 1.5570 area and a subsequent drop of 80 pips. However it’s preferable to wait for a candle close or two below 1.5480 supports to confirm the current uptrend reversal. The importance of 1.5480 is because we find a 8th of August low and the 55 exponential moving average at this level.
Among the important figures this week for the UK include Inflation data on Tuesday and unemployment data on Wednesday
Res: 1.5730, 1.5675, 1.5600, 1.5570
Sup: 1.5480, 1.5385, .1.5300, 1.5200
USD/JPY
The previous low for the current downtrend is at 97.75, the fact that Yen failed to drop to the same level making a higher low at 95.90 is considered a bad sign for the downtrend. A rise above 97.00 would confirm a complete reversal which doesn’t seem far off now as its currently trading close to that level
The U.S. dollar rise against the Japanese yen arrived after Japanese economic growth figures came in weaker than projected after Japan’s Cabinet Office said the economy grew an annualized 2.6% in the April-June period, sharply slower than first-quarter expansion of 4.1%
Res: 98.55, 98.15, 97.80, 97.35
Sup: 95.75, 95.15, 94.70, 93.55
AUD/USD
We also see the strength of the dollar against the Aussie. A double top near 0.9200 shows a pause in the current uptrend and we are monitoring if it will hold below 0.9170 support (previous low) which if it does would be another sign of a reversal as a lower low
Over the week the Aussie could see a run towards July highs above 0.9300, given the RBA’s likely steady hand in Sep, rising commodity prices and stretched spec positioning
Res: 0.9316, 0.9300, 0.9240, 0.9200
Sup: 0.9100, 0.9050, 0.9000, 0.8971
Gold
Currently testing 1331 resistance, this could has been rising the past 4 sessions ever since hitting a low of 1270, with the sharpest gains during the 8th of August (25 dollar rise) and today (17 dollar rise so far).
The advance comes as heavyweight gold exchange-traded fund logged its first increase in holdings since June. Higher-than-expected import growth in China indicates a domestic-demand recovery, which will bode well for gold demand
Res: 1376, 1360, 1348, 1331
Sup: 1300, 1288, 1270, 1264
[IMG]http://mediaserver.fxstreet.com/Reports/325f5b3f-7a7d-4768-8193-afec3573778f/goldh1_20130812081010.png[/IMG]

WindsorBrokers 08-13-2013 10:55 AM

رد: Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:00 GMT)
 
EUR/USD
The euro fails to drop to yesterdays low 1.3276 making a higher low today at 1.3290. Since then it went up to 1.3315. This a reversal signal for the current downtrend from 1.3400 to 1.3276. We will change our outlook to bullish only if we see it trading go back above 1.3345 opening the way for 1.3365
Today we have Euro zone German ZEW Economic Sentiment at 09:00 GMT. German analyst and investor sentiment dropped unexpectedly in July, reaching 36.3 from 38.5 in June, contrary to predictions for a 39.6 climb. Analysts believe the slowdown in China was the major cause for this decline, endangering Germany’s export-driven economy. Investor’s climate is expected to reach 40.3 this time
Res: 1.3415, 1.3400, 1.3345, 1.3315
Sup: 1.3285, 1.3265, 1.3220, 1.3200
GBP/USD
The cable broke 1.5480 support reaching 15444. This we mentioned before would confirm the reversal of the previous uptrend on the H1 chart. This leaves the next bearish targets at 1.5385 and 1.5300. Only a rise back above 1.5520 would renew our bullish outlook.
8:30 GMT we have UK Inflation data, British inflation surged in June to the highest level in more than a year, reaching 2.9% after registering a 2.7% rise in May. However the increase was less than the 3.0% climb predicted by analysts
Res: 1.5730, 1.5680, 1.5600, 1.5555
Sup: 1.5440, 1.5385, 1.5300, 1.5200
USD/JPY
Yen successfully achieves a new high for the H1 chart uptrend breaking 97.35 and reaching 97.55. This leaves the next target at 97.80. The previous two days saw big gains completely reversing the previous downtrend with a rise of almost 160 pips.
The yen losing ground after the Nikkei newspaper reported that Japan’s Prime Minister Shinzo Abe may propose reducing corporate taxes to offset pressure on growth from a planned increase in the national consumption tax
Res: 99.15, 98.60, 98.15, 97.80
Sup: 96.40, 95.75, 95.15, 94.70
AUD/USD
The AUDUSD is in a downtrend on the H1 chart ever since making a double top near 0.9200 resistance continuing its fall to drop below the 33 exponential moving average and to trade outside the previous upward channel. However it did manage to find support at key level 0.9100.
Analysts at NAB assessed, “We see GDP growth softening to 2.2% in 2013, before rising to 2.6% in 2014, and a significant deterioration in the labour market is expected this year (unemployment above 6%) and next. Our forecasts have been revised a touch lower – with downside risks building. When combined with still low inflation, we expect another RBA cut, probably in November, and more cuts may follow. We remain a touch more bearish than recently revised (down) forecasts from the Government and the RBA”.
Res: 0.9316, 0.9300, 0.9240, 0.9200
Sup: 0.9100, 0.9050, 0.9000, 0.8920
Gold
We saw Gold break 1331 resistance yesterday to achieve a new top for the uptrend at 1343. Since then Gold seesawed between minor gains and losses Tuesday, with strength in the U.S. dollar serving as a headwind ahead of U.S. retail-sales data that may support the Federal Reserve’s plan to start tapering monetary stimulus. We can also notice that the 1331 resistance turned from a resistance to a support as we can see from today’s low
Res: 1376, 1368, 1360, 1348
Sup: 1316, 1300, 1288, 1270

WindsorBrokers 08-19-2013 10:39 AM

رد: Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:00 GMT)
 
EURUSD
Euro’s weekly close level was barely changed, compared to the previous week’s close, despite wide price amplitude during past sessions. Daily chart shows the price action entrenched within 200-pips consolidation, capped for now at 1.3400 zone, with daily technicals being positively aligned. Positive tone also prevails on 4-hour chart that keeps the upside focused, following last week’s sharp fall and quick recovery the reached levels close to the range top. Clearance of key 1.3399/1.3414 barriers is expected to trigger fresh phase higher, as resumption of larger uptrend from 1.2754, 09/07 low. From the other side, bulls may be delayed by weakening hourly studies, with corrective easing seen preceding fresh rally. Initial support lies at 1.3300, 50% of 1.3187/1.3399 range, while violation of range floor at 1.3187 will be bearish.
Res: 1.3342; 1.3379; 1.3399; 1.3414
Sup: 1.3300; 1.3272; 1.3260; 1.3232
GBPUSD
Cable remains in an uptrend from 1.4812 low, with near-term price action being in a consolidative mode off 1.5655, fresh 2-month high, posted last week. Weekly close above 1.5600 handle and positively aligned near-term studies keep the upside in focus for eventual push through psychological 1.5700 barrier, to open way for full retracement of 1.5751/1.4812 downleg. Previous peak at 1.5573 offers initial support, ahead of psychological 1.5500 level and key near-term support and higher platform at 1.5420.
Res: 1.5655; 1.5700; 1.5721; 1.5751
Sup: 1.5600; 1.5573; 1.5538; 1.5500
USDJPY
Near-term structure remains weak, as corrective bounce off 97.04, last Friday’s low, remains congested at 97.80, near 50% of 98.64/97.04 downleg. Failure to clear psychological 98.00 barrier as initial resistance, would risk further downside, as a part of broader weakness from 101.52 high that is maintained by bear-trendline, currently standing at 99.20. Break below 97.00 handle would open key near-term support at 95.78, 08/08 low.
Res: 97.84; 98.03; 98.64; 98.75
Sup: 97.34; 97.18; 97.00; 96.40
AUDUSD
The Aussie dollar maintains positive near-term tone and cracks the upper boundary of one-week consolidation range at 0.9220, as a part of larger recovery rally from 0.8846, 05/08 low. Positively aligned studies on lower timeframes keep focus at the upside, with 0.9240, daily Ichimoku cloud ****, seen as the next barrier. Break here to complete daily cup ad holder reversal pattern and open key short-term hurdles at 0.9316/43, also 50% of 0.9790/0.8846 descend, for possible stronger recovery of larger downtrend. Alternative scenario sees risk of upside rejection at 0.9220 and double-top formation that requires confirmation on a break below 0.9080/60 supports.
Res: 0.9240; 0.9255; 0.9316; 0.9343
Sup: 0.9167; 0.9140; 0.9123; 0.9072


الساعة الآن 11:21 AM

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