Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:00 GMT)

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رد: Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:00 GMT)

EURUSD

The Euro extends near-term recovery off Friday’s fresh low at 1.0915, taking a breather of larger downmove from 1.1434, 18 June top. Rally accelerated above daily 10SMA and Ichimoku cloud top at 1.11 and Fibonacci 38.2% of 1.1434/1.0915 downleg at 1.1113, after triggering series of stops, with positive news coming from China and hopes for solution of Greek problem, giving boost to the single currency’s near-term action. However, daily structure remains weak and sees risk of recovery stall and fresh leg lower. Extension above the first pivot at 1.1187, daily 20SMA, is required to sideline existing downside risk and signal reversal. Key near-term barrier lies at 1.1276, lower top of 29 June. On the downside, 1.11 marks initial support, ahead of 1.1040 zone, Fibonacci 38.2% of recovery rally from 1.0915 / hourly higher low and 1.1026, daily 100SMA, loss of which will be bearish.

Res: 1.1028; 1.1057; 1.1077; 1.1096

Sup: 1.1100; 1.1061; 1.1043; 1.1026

Windsor Brokers Short Term Technical eurusd_20150709071531.png

GBPUSD

Cable maintains bearish near-term tone, as the price eventually broke and closed below pivotal daily Ichimoku cloud top and 200SMA at 1.5440. Yesterday’s acceleration lower met initial target at 1.5348, Fibonacci 76.4% of 1.5168/1.5928 rally and posted fresh low at 1.5327. Near-term price action bounces in corrective move on oversold near-term studies, with limited upside action seen, as overall picture remains firmly bearish and looks for final stretch towards short-term target at 1.5168, low of 01 June, for completion of 1.5168/1.5928 upleg. Former breakpoint at 1.5440, now acts as initial resistance, ahead of yesterday’s high at 1.5465 and Tuesday’s intraday high at 1.5484, levels that mark the mid-point zone of 1.5626/1.5327 downleg and expected to ideally cap recovery attempts.

Res: 1.5440; 1.5465; 1.5484; 1.5580

Sup: 1.5356; 1.5327; 1.5300; 1.5250

Windsor Brokers Short Term Technical gbpusd_20150709071459.png

USDJPY

The pair trades in near-term recovery rally from 120.39, fresh low, posted on yesterday’s strong acceleration lower. Yesterday’s move that left long red daily candle, gave strong bearish signal, after the fall took out all supports en-route, Fibonacci 61.8% at 121.53, daily 100SMA at 121 and Fibonacci 76.4% at 120.52. Psychological 120 support is now eyed, with full retracement of 118.87/125.84 rally, not ruled out. Near-term rally on short-covering action, is underpinned by relief rally of Chinese stocks, however, prevailing bearish tone on all timeframes, sees limited upside action. Daily Ichimoku cloud **** at 121.67, also near Fibonacci 61.8% of yesterday’s fall, marks pivotal resistance and is seen as ideal reversal point. Otherwise, expect extended recovery towards psychological 122 barrier and daily cloud top at 122.29, break of which to neutralize near-term bears.

Res: 121.67; 122.00; 122.29; 122.55

Sup: 121.04; 120.57; 120.39; 120.00

Windsor Brokers Short Term Technical usdjpy_20150709071436.png

AUDUSD

The pair trades in near-term recovery mode, after posting fresh 6-year low at 0.7370, on yesterday’s extension of larger downtrend. However, yesterday’s daily candle with long lower shadow, gave initial positive signal, as buying interest increases. Today’s fresh bullish acceleration was supported by positive news from Chine, but recovery rally, so far looks like correction on oversold conditions and is expected to precede fresh leg lower. Former breakpoint at 0.7531, low of 02 Apr and floor of short-term 0.7531/0.8161 consolidation, marks initial barrier and is expected to ideally cap, while break here is expected to extend correction and open next significant barrier at 0.7600, floor of former near-term 0.7600/0.7847 consolidation and near 50% of 0.7847/0.7370 downleg

Res: 0.7500; 0.7531; 0.7600; 0.7665
Sup: 0.7448; 0.7400; 0.7370; 0.7350

Windsor Brokers Short Term Technical audusd_20150709071413.png

v]: Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:00 GMT) 0700 analysis brokers gmt majors short technical term windsor

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EURUSD

The Euro bounced strongly yesterday, leaving long bullish daily candle that came after previous day’s long-legged Doji and signals stronger correction. Bullish acceleration reached 1.0967 high, also Fibonacci 38.2% retracement of 1.1215/1.0807 downleg, where rally was capped by descending daily 10SMA. Improved near-term technicals favor further recovery, however, overall bearish structure remains intact. Further upside to face strong obstacles at 1.0992, daily Ichimoku cloud **** and 1.1033, falling daily 20SMA. Only break and close above the latter would neutralize scenario of lower top formation and fresh leg lower. Asian trading was entrenched within narrow range, with range bottom at 1.0923, marking initial support, ahead of previous barrier at 1.0900, also near 38.2% of recovery rally from 1.0807. Break here to signal an end of recovery phase.

Res: 1.0967; 1.0992; 1.1033; 1.1059

Sup: 1.0923; 1.0900; 1.0868; 1.0845

GBPUSD

Cable accelerated higher and probes above 1.56 barrier, after four-day descend from 1.5673 peak, was contained by daily 100SMA and rising 4-hour Ichimoku cloud top at 1.5527. Yesterday’s Doji candle signaled hesitation at strong support area, with current rally so far seen as corrective action, while pivotal resistance zone at 1.5673/1.5698, 15 July high / Fibonacci 61.8% of 1.5928/1.5527 downleg, stays intact. Daily studies hold in neutral mode and require break of either side of near-term congestion, to define fresh direction.

Res: 1.5622; 1.5673; 1.5698; 1.5729

Sup: 1.5589; 1.5548; 1.5527; 1.5500

USDJPY

The pair resumes pullback off 123.46, yesterday’s high that took out initial supports at 123.90/70. Yesterday’s Bearish Engulfing candle suggests stronger pullback, with today’s fresh extension lower, bringing in focus next supports at 123.25, daily Ichimoku cloud top and 122.90, 14 July higher low and Fibonacci 38.2% of 120.39/124.46 rally. These supports mark pivotal points and break here would trigger stronger corrective action. Near-term technicals are entering bearish mode, while overall picture remains bullish and favors fresh attempts higher on completion of current correction. Ideally, pullbacks should find support above 122.90 handle, not to further delay larger bulls on extended corrective phase.

Res: 123.75; 123.97; 124.46; 124.72

Sup: 123.46; 123.25; 122.90; 122.68

AUDUSD

Aussie sidelined immediate downside risk after yesterday’s rally that came after Monday’s long-legged Doji, left long bullish daily candle. Hourly studies improved on a rally through daily 10 SMA / Tenkan-sen line, former initial barriers, however, gains stay short of pivotal 0.7495 barrier, former consolidation top, reinforced by falling daily 20SMA, break of which is needed to signal stronger recovery. Otherwise, extended consolidative phase and fresh attempts lower remain as favored scenario, as overall structure remains bearish.

Res: 0.7447; 0.7495; 0.7524; 0.7584
Sup: 0.7371; 0.7324; 0.7300; 0.7250

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EURUSD

Yesterday’s strong rally that left long bullish daily candle, cracked daily Kijun-sen line at 1.1108 and peaked at 1.1128, where daily 55SMA capped rally. This now marks pivotal barrier, with sustained break higher to open key 1.1215 hurdle, daily cloud top / 10 July high. Corrective pullback on overbought near-term conditions is under way, with strong 1.10 support zone, Fibonacci 38.2% retracement of 1.0807/1.1128 recovery leg / daily 20SMA and near daily cloud ****, expected to contain and keep near-term bulls in play. On the other side, daily structure is still negative and increased risk of lower top formation and fresh acceleration lower, could be expected on sustained break below 1.10 handle.

Res: 1.1098; 1.1128; 1.1195; 1.1215

Sup: 1.1050; 1.1000; 1.0967; 1.0924

GBPUSD

Cable holds positive hourly structure, on today’s return above daily 20SMA, where yesterday’s trading closed, after peaking at 1.5593. However, daily studies are weak and while pivotal daily cloud top at 1.5598 holds, downside risk is expected to remain in play. Session low at 1.5551, reinforced by daily 20SMA and near Fibonacci 38.2% of 1.5464/1.5593 upleg, is giving way and sustained break here would weaken near-term structure and expose pivotal 1.55 zone support and risk return to key 1.5464, 24 July higher low. Conversely, clear break above daily cloud top, re-focus key near-term barrier and lower platform at 1.5670 zone.

Res: 1.5578; 1.5598; 1.5628; 1.5670

Sup: 1.5540; 1.5500; 1.5464; 1.5404

USDJPY

The pair bounces from daily 20SMA / daily cloud top supports at 123.20/02, which were cracked on yesterday’s weakness to 122.98. Subsequent bounce keeps the latter as still valid supports, as daily structure remains positive and sees the area as ideal reversal point. The notion is supported by reversing daily 20SMA. However, weak near-term technicals, keep the downside vulnerable, with violation of strong 123 support zone, expected to trigger fresh acceleration lower, as extension of pullback from 124.46, 21 July peak. Yesterday’s high at 123.82, reinforced by daily 10SMA, marks initial barrier, with sustained break here, to shift near-term focus higher and signal higher low formation.

Res: 123.82; 124.17; 124.46; 124.72

Sup: 123.45; 123.20; 123.02; 122.90

AUDUSD

Aussie consolidates recent losses, attempting to form near-term **** above fresh 6-year low at 0.7255. Yesterday’s Gravestone Doji candle confirms the notion. However, limited upside action is seen for now, as overall picture remains bearish and sees scope for final push towards 0.7204, Fibonacci 76.4% target, below which would expose psychological 0.7000 support. Falling daily 10SMA offers initial resistance at 0.7351, ahead of daily 20SMA at 0.7421, where extended rallies are expected to find strong resistance.

Res: 0.7351; 0.7376; 0.7421; 0.7447
Sup: 0.7289; 0.7255; 0.7204; 0.7150

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EURUSD

The Euro remains at the back foot, following last Friday’s sharp reversal from recovery rejection at 1.1121 and yesterday’s close in red and below daily 20SMA that offers initial resistance at 1.0974, reinforced by **** of thick 4-hour Ichimoku cloud. Psychological 1.10 barrier, also Fibonacci 38.2% of 1.1121/1.0931 pullback, comes next, with extended recovery attempts, expected to remain below daily cloud **** at 1.1062. Weak near-term technicals and overall bearish structure, keep the downside in focus. Lows of yesterday and Friday at 1.0931/20, mark immediate supports, ahead of pivotal 1.0891, low of 30 July, loss of which to expose higher **** and breakpoint at 1.08 zone.

Res: 1.0974; 1.1000; 1.1025; 1.1062

Sup: 1.0931; 1.0920; 1.0891; 1.0868

GBPUSD

Cable continues to trade in neutral near-term mode, with price action being for now supported by sideways-moving daily 20SMA that currently lies at 1.5556 and marks pivotal support. Upside attempts were so far limited, keeping rising daily cloud top at 1.5643 and cracked 1.5670 congestion tops zone, intact for now. Setup of daily indicators remains neutral, while daily MA’s are bullishly aligned, with upside-turning daily 20d Bollinger Bands, giving bullish signal. Initial range is defined by session low at 1.5569 and yesterday’s NY session high at 1.5622. Next barriers lay at 1.5643, yesterday’s high and 1.5670/88 breakpoint zone.

Res: 1.5643; 1.5670; 1.5698; 1.5729

Sup: 1.5569; 1.5547; 1.5526; 1.5488

USDJPY

The pair continues to consolidate at 124 zone, trading in narrow range and holding near-term studies in neutral mode. Overall picture, however, remains bullish and keeps focus at the upside. Renewed attack at last week’s high at 124.56 and sustained break higher, is required to confirm resumption of larger recovery rally from 120.39, 08 July low. Daily 10SMA offers initial support at 123.82, guarding more significant support zone at 123.49/40, daily Ichimoku cloud top / rising daily 20SMA and 123.00, higher low of the rally from 120.39, loss of which would weaken near-term tone.

Res: 124.09; 124.36; 124.56; 124.72

Sup: 123.82; 123.49; 123.40; 123.00

AUDUSD

Strong post-RBA acceleration probes above initial barriers at 0.7362/66, near-term consolidation top / falling daily 20SMA, leaving near-term **** at 0.7350 zone that was cracked on last Friday’s spike to 0.7333, fresh 6-year low. Near-term studies are gaining bullish tone, signaling further correction, with 0.74 barrier seen next, ahead of 0.7485/95 breakpoint, daily Kijun-sen line and mid-July lower platform. Extended rallies should be ideally capped here, as overall picture maintains firm bearish tone and is expected to resume towards initial target at 0.7204 and psychological 0.7000 support, on completion of near-term consolidative phase.

Res: 0.7400; 0.7447; 0.7495; 0.7540
Sup: 0.7362; 0.7335; 0.7306; 0.7258

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EURUSD

The Euro closed yesterday below former low of 30 July at 1.0891, leaving a long red candle that confirms further extension of the downleg from double upside rejection at 1.1121/28. Firm bearish tone on all timeframes, suggests final push towards short-term **** and breakpoint at 1.08 zone, former lows of 27 Mat at 1.0818 and 20 July low at 1.0807. Break here to open way towards key med-term support levels at 1.0519/1.0461, lows of 12 Apr/15 Mar, the bottom of larger downtrend from 1.3992, May 2014 peak. Today’s fresh weakness confirms bearish stance. However, near-term studies are approaching oversold zone that may result in hesitation on approach to strong 108 zone supports. Initial resistance lies at 1.09 area, ahead of 1.0931, former hourly minor ****, with extended rallies, expected to hold below pivotal barrier at 1.0986, yesterday’s high and near Fibonacci 61.8% retracement of 1.1121/1.0844 downleg.

Res: 1.0900; 1.0931; 1.0986; 1.1011

Sup: 1.0844; 1.0818; 1.0807; 1.0698

GBPUSD

Cable is losing traction in the near-term, as repeated upside rejections, where daily cloud top capped upside attempts and fresh weakness below of daily 20SMA, give initial negative signals. Repeated daily close in red, confirms the notion and moves the price into lower part of near-term 1.5464/1.5670 range. However, daily technicals hold neutral setup, together with contracting 20d Bollinger bands, suggesting prolonged sideways phase, with break of either boundary, required to establish fresh direction. Corrective rallies off fresh session low at 1.5524, should be ideally capped under yesterday’s high at 1.5632.

Res: 1.5570; 1.5600; 1.5632; 1.5670

Sup: 1.5524; 1.5488; 1.5464; 1.5449

USDJPY

The pair resumes the uptrend after brief consolidation at 124 zone and approaches pivotal resistance zone that lies between 124.36 and 124.72 highs at tops of short-term congestion. Overall bullish tone supports eventual break higher and resumption of larger uptrend from 120.69 low, with daily Tenkan-sen line containing dips at 123.77 and rising daily 20SMA underpinning the action at 123.70, guarding pivotal daily Ichimoku cloud top at 123.40. Near-term technicals are gaining bullish tone and favor further upside, however, extended consolidation ahead of final break higher, cannot be ruled out, as the pair approaches breakpoint zone and 4-hour studies are losing initial bullish momentum.

Res: 124.56; 124.72; 125.00; 125.50

Sup: 123.70; 123.40; 123.00; 122.48

AUDUSD

The pair corrects yesterday’s strong rally that peaked at 0.7426 and closed above daily 20SMA, leaving long bullish daily candle. Near-term technicals are gaining positive tone, but limited upside action is seen, while pivotal 0.7485/95 zone, daily Kijun-sen line / former lower platform stays intact. Pullback from fresh high at 0.7426, should be contained above 0.7324, Fibonacci 61.8% of 0.7261/0.7426 rally, to keep fresh near-term bulls in play. Overall picture, however, remains bearish and sees resumption of larger downtrend, after completion of current consolidation.

Res: 0.7400; 0.7426; 0.7447; 0.7495
Sup: 0.7324; 0.7306; 0.7258; 0.7233

Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:00 GMT)

EURUSD The Euro extends near-term recovery off Friday’s fresh low at 1.0915, taking a breather of larger downmove from 1.1434, 18 June top. Rally accelerated above daily

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