The Euro held within tight range during the Asian session, holding below 1.3100 barrier, despite 30-pips gap higher weekly opening. Bounce of recent range bottom at 1.3000 was rejected at 1.3125, Fib 61.8% of 1.3200/1.3000 descend, with Friday’s fall and close below 1.3100, keeping the downside vulnerable. Near-term studies are negatively aligned, as the price was unable to clear 20 day EMA. Immediate support lays at 1.3045, Fri/Thu lows and break lower to re-focus psychological 1.3000, key near-term support. Formation of diamond pattern on a daily chart, signals reversal that requires break below 1.3000 and 1.2972, 50% retracement of 1.2744/1.3200 ascend, to be confirmed. Any bounce through 1.3100/25, would improve near-term structure, however, clearance of 1.3200 would bring bulls fully in play.

Cable ended the week under heavy pressure, with negative fundamentals triggering sharp fall. Losses extended overnight and tested near-term **** at 1.5200 zone, signaling further weakness. Immediate target and strong support lays at 1.5175, Fib 61.8% of 1.5032/1.5410 rally / daily Ichimoku cloud ****, with negative tone on the lower timeframes and double-top left at 1.5380, last week’s highs, supporting the notion. Bearish 20/55 day EMA’s crossover at 1.5280 zone, keeps the upside limited for now

The pair flirts with psychological 100.00 barrier again, as strong bounce of last week’s correction low at 95.80, extended close to 100.00. The barrier is strong, as previous attempt here failed and overbought hourly studies suggest hesitation. Indicators on 4h chart, however, see room for test and break above 100.00 barrier, to open next significant barrier at 101.43, Apr 2009 high. Corrective dips should be contained by 99.00/98.50 support zone, to keep near-term bulls intact.

The pair remains under pressure at the beginning of the weeks, continuing broader weakness, sparked on upside rejection at 1.0581 on 11 Apr. Marginally fresh low at 1.0265 was posted overnight, with near-term bears being firmly in play and price being limited by descending 20 day EMA. As daily studies broke in the negative territory, further weakness towards 1.0224/00, Fib 76.4% of 1.0114/1.0581 / round figure support, could be anticipated. Any corrective action faces solid resistance at 1.0357, last Friday’s high, while penetration through 1.0400 barrier, is requires to ease immediate bear-pressure.

The Euro holds above 1.3000 but still directionless, moving within 1.2950/1.3100 range. Slight improvements seen on overnight’s gap-higher opening and upside aligned hourly studies, keep the immediate barrier at 1.3100 in near-term focus. Break above 1.3100, also 4h triangle resistance, would avert the downside risk, in favor of extension towards next barrier at 1.3127, 19 Apr high, to confirm near-term **** at 1.2950 and possibly re-open key 1.3200 resistance. Psychological 1.3000 support keeps the near-term price action supported for now, with any penetration lower, to weaken the structure.

Cable maintains positive tone, as fresh gains through psychological 1.5500 barrier that kept last week’s rally capped, now open way for fresh bulls. Immediate barrier lies at 1.5570, 100 day MA, ahead of 1.5605, 50% retracement of 1.6380/1.4830 downleg. Short-term studies remain positive but overbought that may signal hesitation on approach to the next targets. Previous peak and last Friday’s low at 1.5410/17 zone, offer solid support and should contain corrective dips.

The pair remains under pressure, as last Friday’s fresh weakness and weekly close below 98.00 handle and overnight’s extension to 97.34, Fib 61.8% of 95.80/99.87 upleg, confirm near-term bears being in play. Corrective rally on oversold hourlies, faces initial resistance s at 98.00/30, with previous low and 50% retracement of 99.74/97.35 at 98.50, reinforced by 20/55 day EMA’s, bearish crossover seen as ideal cap. With near-term structure being negatively aligned, further downside is seen favored after the correction, with 97.20/00 seen as next targets. Conversely, extension above 98.50 would ease bear-pressure, however, regain of 99.00 barrier is required to shift focus higher and re-expose recent highs and psychological 100 barrier.
Res: 98.00, 98.30, 98.50, 98.82

The pair regained positive tone after upside rejection at 1.0335 and subsequent pullback found support at 1.0260. Fresh strength that surged through 1.0300 barrier overnight and approach of 1.0335/38 double-top, sees scope for extension of near-term recovery rally from 1.0220 low, with clear break above 1.0338 required to confirm and open immediate targets at 1.0357, 19 Apr high / Fib 38.2% of 1.0581/1.0220 fall and 1.0400, 14 Apr high / 50% retracement. Hourly structure remains positive, while 4h indicators are breaking above their midlines.

The Euro extended recovery rally to briefly break above 1.3100 handle, however, gains were limited, as the price action was capped at 1.3115, failing to clear the barrier on repeated attempt. Pullback under 1.3100, could be seen as corrective, while price holds above 1.3050 zone, 50% of 1.2989/1.3115 upleg / 20 day EMA, as 4h indicators maintain positive tone, with higher low seen as good **** for possible fresh attempt above 1.3100/15, to possibly open key 1.3200 barrier. From the other side, slide below 1.3050, would risk return to 1.3000 **** and keep the near-term range top intact.

Cable enters corrective mode, following yesterday’s rally through 1.5500 barrier that reached 1.5544 high so far. Daily close slightly below 1.5500 and fresh extension lower that tests 55 day EMA, risks deeper pullback, as hourly studies moved into negative territory. Further easing would face Fibonacci supports at 1.5444 (38.2%) and more significant 1.5410, 50% retracement of 1.5281/1.5544 rally and previous peak, loss of which to sideline near-term bulls. Studies on 4h chart are emerging from overbought zone and keep the price pressured.

Near-term structure remains negative, as recovery rally from 97.34, yesterday’s low, remains capped at Fib 38.2% of 99.49/97.34 fall at 98.19. Hourly studies are weak, with more negative tone seen on 4h chart, where indicators hold in the negative territory and price pressured by 20/55 EMA’s bearish crossover, that keeps the downside favored. Slide below 97.35, also Fib 61.8% of 95.80/99.87 recovery and 97.20, 17 Apr low, to open way for further extension lower, where 96.75, 76.4% / previous peak of 12 Mar, is seen as next target and breakpoint. Risk of triple top completion is still high and loss of 96.70 is to confirm.
Res: 98.11, 98.19, 98.41, 98.70

The pair holds positive near-term tone off 1.0220 low, as fresh gains through 1.0335/38 resistance, cracked the next barrier at 1.0357, Fib 38.2% / daily Ichimoku cloud top and see potential for extension higher. Key near-term resistance at 1.0400, 14 Apr high / 50% retracement of 1.0581/1.0220, comes in focus, as break here is required to confirm **** at 1.0220 and resume recovery. Previous barriers at 1.0335/38, now offer initial support, with dips to be ideally contained at 1.0320 zone, to keep bulls intact.