The Euro failed to sustain gains on yesterday’s rally through key 1.3200 barrier, as the price reversed lower after posting fresh high at 1.3240. Gains were capped by 50% retracement of larger 1.3710/1.2744 descend, with reversal below 1.3200 handle, softening near-term structure. The pullback found temporary support at 1.3150, 50% of 1.3053/1.3241 upleg and above trendline support / 61.8% / 20 day EMA at 1.3125. While above the latter, scope exists for fresh attempt at 1.3200, initial resistance and extension higher, as 4h structure is positive and favors further bulls, as a part of larger recovery from 1.2950. Conversely, loss of 1.3125 and psychological 1.3100, also 50% of 1.2950/1.3241, would signal top at 1.3241 and bring bears back to play.

Cable consolidates yesterday’s rally that dented initial target at 1.5605, 50% retracement of 1.6380/1.4830, with pullback being contained by 55 day EMA at 1.5540, for now. Positive structure on lower timeframes keeps the upside in focus, as clearance of 1.5605 is seen as a trigger for fresh extension of recovery rally from 1.4830. Any deeper pullbacks should be held above 1.5400 zone, to avert downside risk.

USD/JPY The pair holds above freshly established **** at 97.00, but downside pressure persists, as recovery attempts stay capped under initial 98.00 barrier and lower timeframes indicators hold in the negative territory. With descending 55 day EMA maintaining slide, immediate focus lays at 97.00, loss of which to resume larger downtrend from levels just under 100.00 barrier and expose breakpoint at 96.70, Fib76.4% of 95.80/99.87 ascend / 12 Mar previous high. Alternatively, confirmation of near-term **** at 97.00, requires clearance of 55 day EMA at 97.45 and more significant 98.00/25 resistance zone, 30/29 Apr highs / 50% retracement of 99.87/97.00 downleg.

Aussie dollar lost ground after upside rejection just under key 1.0400 barrier, as subsequent sharp reversal fully retraced 1.0220/1.0383, near-term recovery rally. With bears now full in play, penetration through psychological 1.0200 support, is expected to open way towards 1.0114, 04 Mar low, multi-month range floor and near 50% of med-term 0.9579/1.0623 ascend. Previous higher **** at 1.0260, now offers initial resistance, with any further extension higher, seen limited under 1.0300 for now.

The Euro remains in the range-trading mode, with slight improvement seen on a break above 1.3100 barrier, as near-term **** has been established at 1.3060 zone. Hourly and 4h structure remains weak, however, fresh strength threatens break through 4h triangle resistance at 1.3120, along with recent highs at 1.3130 zone, also 50% of 1.3241/1.3032 that is required to further improve near-term tone for possible extension towards the range tops. Conversely, slide below 1.3100., would shift the focus lower and expose 1.3060/30, strong support zone.

Cable trades in a near-term corrective mode, following yesterday’s sharp fall that found temporary support at 1.5445/1.5603 upleg. As lower timeframes studies weakened and indicators slid into negative territory, downside risk towards pivotal 1.5410/00 support zone, remains in play. Recovery attempts face good barrier at 1.5500, while only break above 1.5500, yesterday’s high, would ease immediate bear pressure.

USD/JPYThe pair remains at the back foot, following upside rejection at 99.44 on Monday and series of lower tops, defining near-term descend. With 99.00 barrier capping the upside and yesterday’s low at 98.63, coming under pressure, more risk is seen towards the downside in the near-term. However, break below 98.50, Fib 38.2% of 97.00/99.44 upleg and 55 day EMA, is required to confirm reversal and signal lower top at 99.44. Alternative scenario requires break above 99.34/44 highs to shift focus towards initial target and psychological barrier at 100.00.

The pair trades in a near-term recovery mode, off fresh lows posted at 1.0154, where basing attempt becomes evident. Yesterday’s loss of strong 1.0220 support and near-term ****, as well as psychological 1.0200 handle, keeps bears in play for eventual push towards key support and larger range bottom at 1.0114. Recovery rally needs to clear 1.0200/20, previous strong support, also Fib 38.2% of 1.0321/1.0154 descend, to ease immediate bear-pressure and allow for further recovery, however, overall bearish tone sees the action limited and keeps the downside in focus.

The Euro holds positive near-term tone after yesterday’s rally above hourly triangle resistance that peaked at 1.3192. Corrective easing has so far been contained by 20 day EMA at 1.3150 zone, near Fib 38.2% of 1.3070/1.3192 upleg. Indicators on 1 and 4h charts are in the positive territory that keep the upper boundary of near-term range at 1.3241 in focus, with initial barrier standing at 1.3200. On the downside, below 1.3150, next solid support lays at 1.3030, 50% retracement / previous high of 07 May and reinforced by 55 day EMA. Potential break here to weaken near-term structure

Cable remains steady, following yesterday’s test of levels near 1.5600 tops and subsequent pullback that found support at 1.5530, Fib 38.2% of 1.5445/1.5590 rally. Hourly indicators are reversing higher and holding above the midlines, with bullish 20/55 EMA’s crossover at 1.5520, also 50% retracement, underpinning the action. On the other side, 4h indicators are struggling at their midlines that would keep the downside risk in play, as long as 1.5600 barrier stays intact. Break here to resume short-term rally from 1.4830 and open next target at 1.5630.

USD/JPYThe pair remains in descending mode, following upside rejection at 99.44 on Monday and series of lower tops, confirming near-term downtrend that reached the lowest so far at 98.57, low of yesterday. While 99.00 barrier caps, the downside risk will persist, as hourly studies are negative and 4h indicators running out of steam. Break below 98.50, Fib 38.2% of 97.00/99.44 upleg and 55 day EMA, is required to confirm reversal and signal lower top at 99.44. Conversely, lift above 99.00 would avert immediate downside risk, however clearance of 99.34/44 highs is required to shift focus towards initial target and psychological barrier at 100.00.

The pair got boosted by fundamentals and rallied from the near-term **** at 1.0150 zone, with break above strong 1.0200/20 barriers reducing bear pressure, as gains reached 1.0250, Fib 61.8% of 1.0321/1.0154 downleg. With hourly studies turning bullish, situation on 4h chart is still fragile, as indicators hold in the negative territory. Break above trendline resistance at 1.0290 and psychological 1.0300 barrier would provide relief and avert scenario of slide below 1.0150 and test of multi-month range floor at 1.0114, 04 Mar low.

The Euro traded in consolidative mode during the Asian session, moving within narrow range and above last Friday’s fresh low at 1.2934 that marks Fib 61.8% of 1.2744/1.3241 recovery rally. The downside pressure persists, as the pair dented 200 day MA and near-term range floor at 1.2950, with weekly close above these supports, but below psychological 1.3000 barrier. Corrective rally above the later, may extend towards strong resistance at 1.2950/60 zone, last Friday’s high / 50% of 1.3193/1.2934 downleg, where rally should be capped. However, sustained break here, would sideline immediate bears and allow for stronger recovery. As near-term indicators hold in the negative territory, fresh weakness is still seen as likely scenario, with violation of 1.2950/34 supports, expected to open 1.2915, daily Ichimoku cloud bottom and psychological 1.2900 support.

Cable extended weakness off 1.5600 barrier and retraced 38.2% of larger 1.4830/1.5603 rally, on last Friday’s fall to 1.5313. Corrective rally on oversold near-term studies, would be short-lived and likely precede fresh weakness, as long as previous breakpoint at 1.5410 and Friday’s high / 50% of 1.5586/1.5313 fall limits the upside. The notion is supported by negative near-term technicals and double-top at 1.5590, as well as brief break below main bull trendline, drawn off 1.4830, 13 Mar low. However, further weakness below 1.5300 handle, needs to break key near-term support at 1.5200, to confirm top at 1.5600 area and signal end of two-months corrective rally.

The pair continue to trend higher, with last Friday’s and overnight probe above psychological 102.00 barrier, suggesting further bullish extension towards 103.00, next target, however, fresh bull-leg above psychological 100.00 barrier, could travel to 105.00. Corrective pullbacks are expected to be limited and any stronger reversal should be contained above 100.00 support. Initial supports lie at 101.00 and 101.80, Fib 38.2% of 98.63/102.14 upleg / 55 day EMA.
Res: 102.00, 102.14, 102.50, 103.00

Last Friday’s extension of larger downtrend and break below parity level, keeps the bears in play and sees scope for further extension, as the pair lost significant support at 1.0114, multi-month range floor. Dips were so far contained at 0.9960, above which, near-term consolidation is under way. With the upside, for now being capped by psychological 1.0000 barrier and 20 day EMA, recovery action should be limited, despite overextended near-term studies. Any stronger bounce, however, would require clearance of strong 1.0220/50 zone, to ease immediate bear pressure, otherwise, fresh weakness towards 0.9900, would be likely scenario.

The remains in near-term consolidative mode, as 1.2934 proved to be solid support after being retested and holding for now, with brief attempt above 1.3000 barrier, signaling possible corrective action. Improved hourly studies support the notion, however, sustained break above 1.3000 and regain of minimum 1.3050/60 is required to confirm **** and trigger fresh recovery. Otherwise, further weakness would be likely scenario, as 4h indicators hold in the negative territory and price action being capped by descending 20 day EMA.

Cable bounces off yesterday’s fresh low at 1.5276, following bearish extension below psychological 1.5300 support. Prevailing negative tone on lower timeframes studies, keeps the downside focused, with corrective rallies seen limited, while below 1.5383/1.5410 barriers. Overall negative tone and break below main bull-trendline, sees increased risk of fresh weakness towards pivotal 1.5200 support zone, 50% of 1.4830/1.5603 / April’s higher platform.

Near-term focus is starting to shift towards the downside and open way for corrective pullback, as the pair holds below 102.00 barrier. Loss of initial support at 101.50, increases downside risk, as hourly studies slide into negative territory and yesterday’s Doji candle signaling near-term indecision. However, confirmation would require break below 101.00 handle to open Fibonacci supports at 100.80/38. Strong support and breakpoint at 100.00 is expected to hold dips, as larger picture bulls remain fully in play, with current reversal seen as corrective and preceding fresh rally.

The pair consolidates recent losses that bottomed at 0.9939, after the parity level has been lost and now acting as initial resistance, reinforced by hourly 55 day EMA. Possible stronger correction cannot be ruled out, as 4h conditions are oversold and hourly indicators are heading north. However, signal of basing attempt would require regain of initial 1.0030/45 barriers, while regain of 1.0100, 50% of 1.0253/0.9939 fall, would confirm recovery. Overall picture remains bearish, as the pair commenced fresh bear-phase, following break below multi-month range floor.

The Euro remains under pressure after yesterday’s upside rejection at 1.3025, where a double-top was left, ahead of fresh weakness. The price violated psychological 1.2900 support, on today’s acceleration lower that suggests further descend, as 50% of 1.2744/1.3241 upleg has been broken and near-term studies hold negative tone. Loss of 1.2900 handle to expose next targets at 1.2861, Fib 76.4% and 1.2800, round figure support. However, bears may be interrupted by corrective action on oversold near-term studies, with previous strong supports at 1.2934/53, now offering initial resistance, ahead of 1.3000, below which rallies should be ideally contained. Only lift above 1.3025 would signal a pause in near-term downtrend and allow for stronger counce.

Near-term bears are fully in play, as the price extended descend from 1.5590 double-top, to crack significant support zone and breakpoint at 1.5217/1.5195, 50% of 1.4830/1.5603 / April’s higher platform. The support proves to be strong, as the price bounced, after hitting fresh low at 1.5190. Dominating negative tone on near-term studies does not see much of upside potential for now, with any stronger rally, expected to hold below 1.5300 barrier. Bearish continuation below 1.5190 to confirm top at 1.56 zone and confirm end of 1.4830/1.5603 corrective phase, with 1.5125/00, seen as next downside targets.

The pair rallies again, after corrective pullback from 102.14 found footstep at 101.25. Break above initial 102.00/14 barriers, signals bullish resumption of fresh upleg from 98.63 that opens way towards next target at 103.00. Positive near-term studies remain supportive, with initial supports standing at 102.14/00, previous barriers and 101.25, keeping the downside protected.

The pair remains in a steep downtrend that accelerated after losing 1.0114, multi-month range floor. Break below parity level, as psychological support and the next one at 0.9900, keeps the way open towards 0.9579, May 2012 low, with interim supports at 0.9825/00 and 0.9660. However, corrective action may preced fresh weakness, but rallies are for now seen limited, with initial barriers at 0.9914/40 and parity level expected to cap.