جميع الحقوق محفوظة لمنتديات الدولار العربي 2011

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EURUSD

The Euro remains within narrow consolidation range, holding around daily cloud top at 1.0865, where it closed for the past two days.
Double–Doji confirms strong indecision, as larger descend was temporarily stopped by daily Ichimoku cloud, spanned between 1.0788 and 1.0865.
However, daily structure remains firmly bearish and favors further downside, which requires break through daily cloud ****, to resume bears towards key short-term support at 1.0709.
Near-term technicals are generally neutral, with range top at 1.09 zone, reinforced by hourly Ichimoku cloud top, marking the first breakpoint, above which to attract daily MA’s resistances at 1.0932 (100SMA) and 1.0960 (10/55SMA’s bear-cross), where extended rallies should find solid resistance.

Res: 1.0900; 1.0932; 1.0965; 1.1000
Sup: 1.0851; 1.0823; 1.0808; 1.0788

GBPUSD

Cable closed in long daily bullish candle yesterday, on extension of recovery rally from fresh low at 1.3834, which closed above initial barrier of daily 10SMA and cracked 1.4078/1.4100 barriers (former low / psychological resistance) on today’s extension to 1.4105, session high.
The pair may extend recovery towards 1.4151 (Fibonacci 38.2% of 1.4665/1.3834 descend), where correction should be ideally capped, as daily Slow Stochastic is entering oversold zone.
Fresh weakness to face initial support at 1.4029 (daily 10SMA), loss of which to weaken near-term structure and open yesterday’s low at 1.3912 and key near-term support at 1.3834.
Alternative scenario requires sustained break above 1.4151 barrier, to signal extended correction and focus daily 20SMA barrier, currently at 1.4225.

Res: 1.4105; 1.4151; 1.4225; 1.4250
Sup: 1.4029; 1.4000; 1.3912; 1.3834

USDCAD

The pair entered narrow near-term consolidation, above fresh low at 1.3383, which left Gravestone Doji yesterday. Prolonged consolidation, with stronger upticks could be expected before larger descend resumes, as crude oil, the pair’s main driver, is consolidating after key barrier was cracked.
Near-term price action was so far capped by the **** of hourly Ichimoku cloud, spanned between 1.3446 and 1.3485. Lift above hourly cloud will expose falling daily 10SMA, currently at 1.3579, which is expected to ideally cap and guard daily 20SMA pivot at 1.3714.

Res: 1.3446; 1.3485; 1.3579; 1.3637
Sup : 1.3402; 1.3383; 1.3303; 1.3272

[IMG]http://mediaserver.fxstreet.com/Reports/325f5b3f-7a7d-4768-8193-afec3573778f/usdcad_20160303093543.png[/IMG]

AUDUSD

Aussie surged above 0.73 barrier, on today’s fresh extension of yesterday’s strong rally that ended day in long bullish candle that marked strongest daily gain in one month and closed above strong barrier at 0.7257 (former congestion top / 200SMA).
Firm bullish setup of daily MA’s supports further upside, as the way is open towards next key barrier at 0.7380/83, former double-top of 12 Oct / 04 Dec 2015, reinforced by weekly Ichimoku cloud ****.
Broken 200SMA offers initial support at 0.7257 and should ideally contain, while extended dips may look for 0.7200 (rising daily 10SMA).

Res: 0.7325; 0.7383; 0.7435; 0.7495
Sup: 0.7279; 0.7257; 0.7200; 0.7157

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EURUSD

The Euro traded within 140-pips wide range on Friday, after US jobs data were released, on sharp U-turn from 1.09 low to 1.1041 (daily high), where strong 200SMA barrier capped upside attempts. Bullish daily and weekly close on Friday was a signal of bullish resumption, however, the upside attempts were capped and daily studies remain bearishly aligned.
This keeps in play risk of lower top formation and fresh leg lower, while correction off 1.0823 (last week’s low) remains capped under pivotal barrier at 1.1044/65 (200SMA / 26 Feb lower top, reinforced by descending 20SMA).
Overnight’s trading was entrenched within narrow range, while early European action showed fresh weakness and cracked initial support at 1.0951, (daily 10SMA), which marks the first downside trigger.
Next important support lies at 1.0900 (Friday’s low / near Fibo 61.8% of two-day recovery rally from 1.0823) and break here is needed to confirm reversal and re-expose key near-term supports at 1.0860/23 (daily Ichimoku cloud top / 02 Mar low of the downleg from 1.1374).

Res: 1.1000; 1.1044; 1.1065; 1.1100
Sup: 1.0942; 1.0900; 1.0860; 1.0823

GBPUSD

Cable ended past week in long bullish candle, as uninterrupted recovery rally from 1.3834 (29 Feb low), peaked at1.4246, just ahead of daily 30SMA at 1.4273 and closed above important Fibo 38.2% of 1.4665/1.3834 downleg at 1.4151.
Corrective easing is under way and probes below 1.4151, with further downside seen likely, as overbought daily Slow Stochastic is turning lower and generating bearish signal, as the pair returned below cracked daily 20SMA at 1.4203.
Next support lies at 1.4088 (Fibo 38.2% of 1.3834/1.4246 upleg), followed by daily 10SMA at 1.4024, above which extended correction should be contained, to keep near-term bulls in play for renewed attempts high.
On the other side, daily studies are still bearish and see risk of lower top formation and fresh bearish acceleration towards key 1.3834, confirmation of which requires sustained break below 1.40 zone (psychological support / near Fibo 61.8% of 1.3834/1.4246 recovery).

Res: 1.4213; 1.4246; 1.4273; 1.4347
Sup: 1.4088; 1.4040; 1.4024; 1.3991

USDCAD

The pair hit fresh three-month low at 1.3314, following Friday’s close in red and the seventh consecutive weekly bearish close, on a cycle from 1.4688 (20 Jan peak).
Bearish acceleration comes ticks away from important 200SMA support, which lies at 1.3281 and break lower is needed generate another bearish signal.
Strong recovery signals of Crude oil price, boost Loonie for further strength and deeper correction of pair’s multi-year rally from 0.9405 to 1.4688.
Sustained break below 200SMA will open psychological 1.30 support and Fibo 61.8% of 1.1917/1.4688 rally, which lies just below, at 1.2976.
Oversold conditions of daily studies remain ignored for now, however, hesitation at 200SMA support, cannot be ruled out.
Falling daily 10SMA offers initial resistance at 1.3495, followed by daily 20/100SMA’s bear-cross formation at 1.3653, also Fibo 61.8% of 1.3856/1.3314 downleg.

Res: 1.3400; 1.3495; 1.3521; 1.3653
Sup : 1.3314; 1.3281; 1.3000; 1.2976

[IMG]http://mediaserver.fxstreet.com/Reports/325f5b3f-7a7d-4768-8193-afec3573778f/usdcad_20160307094949.png[/IMG]

AUDUSD

The pair consolidates under fresh high at 0.7441, posted on Friday, on five-day rally from 0.7106 trough.
Friday’s close above key short-term barrier at 0.7383 (Oct-Nov 2015 highs) and tops of multi-month congestion, generated bullish signal for possible stronger correction of larger downtrend, as the pair also closed above Fibo 38.2% of 0.8161/0.6825 downleg.
Daily studies maintain firm bullish tone and so far show no significant reaction on overbought conditions.
Extended wave C, which commenced from 0.6972 trough, could travel to 0.7551, its 138.2% Fibonacci expansion.
On the downside, broken FE 100% at 0.7391 (near former range tops), marks immediate support and holds for now, followed by broken weekly Ichimoku cloud **** at 0.7360, another good support.
Formation of 10/200SMA’s Golden Cross at 0.7254, underpins the action.

Res: 0.7441; 0.7493; 0.7551; 0.7650
Sup: 0.7391; 0.7360; 0.7325; 0.7254

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EURUSD

The Euro failed to break above strong 200SMA barrier, which was cracked on a brief extension to 1.1056 (yesterday’s high).
Quick reversal and daily close below psychological 1.10 support, left Doji candle with long upper shadow, which signaled hesitation and building selling interest.
The notion was confirmed by fresh acceleration lower that broke below hourly cloud (spanned between 1.1000 and 1.0970), threatens pivotal supports at 1.0950/46 (daily 10SMA / daily Ichimoku cloud top), violation of which will confirm reversal and expose next targets at 1.0912/01 (Fibo 61.8% of 1.0823/1.1056 upleg / last Friday’s low.
Daily Slow Stochastic has reversed from overbought zone and shows a plenty of room at the downside. Also, Death Cross pattern, formed on a cross of 20SMA over 200SMA, generated additional pressure.

Res: 1.0988; 1.1000; 1.1020; 1.1056
Sup: 1.0946; 1.0912; 1.0901; 1.0851

GBPUSD

Double rejection at daily 30SMA confirms strong resistance at 1.4280 zone and possible stronger acceleration lower. Daily Slow Stochastic is reversing in oversold territory and signals further downside, as the pair attacks daily 20SMA support at 1.4180 and hourly Ichimoku cloud **** caps at 1.42, for now.
Break below 20SMA would open Fibo 38.2% of 1.3834/1.4281 upleg at 1.4110, loss of which is needed to confirm reversal and expose psychological 1.4000 support, also Fibo 61.8% retracement.
Meantime, extended consolidation between 20 and 30SMA’s cannot be ruled out, before stronger correction starts.
Conversely, sustained break above 30SMA, will signal fresh leg higher of recovery rally from 1.3834 (29 Feb low).

Res: 1.4200; 1.4240; 1.4281; 1.4303
Sup: 1.4175; 1.4110; 1.4057; 1.4000

USDCAD

The pair made strong bullish close yesterday, ending day above 1.34 handle and showing strong hesitation at pivotal 200SMA support at 1.3290, which was cracked on past two-day unsuccessful attempts lower.
Falling daily 10SMA, currently at 1.3420, still acts as good barrier, despite being cracked today on brief extension to 1.3440. However, further recovery cannot be ruled out, as daily Slow Stochastic is ascending after reversal from oversold zone and shows more room at the upside. Fibonacci 38.2% retracement of 1.3857/1.3258 downleg, marks next strong resistance at 1.3487, which is expected to limit attempts above 10SMA.
Overall structure remains bearish and sees scope for renewed attack at 200SMA, below which to trigger fresh extension of bear-leg from 1.4688 (20 Jan high), towards psychological 1.3000 support.
On the upside, falling daily 20SMA at 1.3601, marks the breakpoint.

Res: 1.3420; 1.3487; 1.3558; 1.3601
Sup : 1.3364; 1.3325; 1.3290; 1.3258

[IMG]http://mediaserver.fxstreet.com/Reports/325f5b3f-7a7d-4768-8193-afec3573778f/usdcad_20160309093200.png[/IMG]

AUDUSD

Aussie bounces from session low at 0.7410, where two-day consolidation found support and is forming hourly double-bottom. Fresh recovery rally retraced over 61.8% of 0.7482/0.7408 easing, shifting near-term focus higher, as hourly studies are gaining bullish momentum. Lift above 0.7468, yesterday’s highs, is needed open way for attack at key 0.7482 barrier and resumption of larger recovery rally from 0.6825 (15 Jan low), towards next target at 0.7530, former low of 29 Mar 2015.
Strong bullish setup of daily studies favors further upside and so far ignores overbought conditions.
Alternative scenario requires reversal below near-term consolidation floor at 0.7408, to weaken near-term structure.

Res: 0.7482; 0.7493; 0.7530; 0.7650
Sup: 0.7454; 0.7436; 0.7408; 0.7391

[IMG]http://mediaserver.fxstreet.com/Reports/325f5b3f-7a7d-4768-8193-afec3573778f/audusd_20160309093135.png[/IMG]

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EURUSD

The pair holds positive near-term tone on two-day recovery from 1.1232 low, which came ticks away from pivotal 1.1348 barrier (daily Tenkan-sen line / 50% retracement of 1.1463/1.1232 downleg).
Overall bullish structure favors further upside, as reversed daily Slow Stochastic shows more room for bullish extension.
Sustained break above Tenkan-sen barrier to open 1.1375 (Fibo 61.8%) and psychological 1.1400 barrier. Daily close above 1.1375 is needed to shift focus towards key 1.1463 barrier (12 Apr fresh multi-month high).
Session low at 1.1300, marks initial support, with extended dips expected to find footstep above 1.1260 (daily Kijun-sen line.

Res: 1.1320; 1.1348; 1.1375; 1.1409
Sup: 1.1300; 1.1260; 1.1232; 1.1200

[IMG]http://mediaserver.fxstreet.com/Reports/325f5b3f-7a7d-4768-8193-afec3573778f/eurusd_20160419094902.png[/IMG]

GBPUSD

Cable hit strong barrier at 1.4338 (daily Ichimoku cloud top), on today’s extension of two-day recovery from 1.4130 higher ****.
Yesterday’s close in long bullish daily candle and above daily Kijun-sen line (1.4258), generated strong bullish signal for further recovery.
The pair met the first of two pivotal barriers at 1.4338/1.4345 (daily cloud top / 12 Apr high), with close above these barriers, required to bring short-term bulls fully in play and spark further recovery of larger 1.4512/1.4004 descend.
Broken daily Kijun-sen line at 1.4258, also Fibo 38.2% of 1.4130/1.4336 upleg, offers solid support, which is expected to ideally contain dips, while return below daily cloud **** at 1.4219, will shift near-term bias lower.

Res: 1.4338; 1.4345; 1.4392; 1.4457
Sup: 1.4282; 1.4258; 1.4219; 1.4163

[IMG]http://mediaserver.fxstreet.com/Reports/325f5b3f-7a7d-4768-8193-afec3573778f/gbpusd_20160419094928.png[/IMG]

USDJPY

The pair trades in extended recovery from yesterday’s low at 107.82, as today’s fresh gains establish above 109 handle.
Near-term studies are in mixed setup, as hourlies hold in full bullish mode, while 4-hour technicals are neutral.
Bigger picture shows negative structure, with price action consolidating within 107.60/109.71 range and fresh recovery rallies, bringing the price in the upper side of near-term range.
Prolonged consolidation ahead of fresh weakness, is seen as favored near-term scenario, while sustained break above psychological 110.00 barrier, also Fibo 38.2% of 113.79/107.61 downleg, is required to signal formation of near-term **** and stronger recovery.

Res: 109.71; 110.00; 110.65; 111.00
Sup: 108.73; 108.38; 107.82; 107.60

[IMG]http://mediaserver.fxstreet.com/Reports/325f5b3f-7a7d-4768-8193-afec3573778f/usdjpy_20160419095004.png[/IMG]

AUDUSD

Yesterday’s bullish Outside Day, generated strong positive signal for today’s fresh upside extension that peaked at 0.7800, posting fresh 10-month high, just ahead of near-term target at 0.7810 (FE 200% of extended wave C from 0.6972).
Firm bullish setup of daily studies favors further upside action, which now eyes 0.7900 (weekly Ichimoku cloud top), on extension above 0.7810 hurdle.
Meantime, correction on overbought near-term studies is under way and expected to find ideal support above 0.7735 (former top / Fibo 38.2% of 0.7629/0.7800 upleg).
Caution on overbought daily Slow Stochastic and Bearish Divergence on Momentum / MACD, which may trigger stronger correction on extension below 0.7682 (Fibo 38.2% of larger 0.7490/0.7800 upleg).

Res: 0.7800; 0.7810; 0.7864; 0.7900
Sup: 0.7735; 0.7720; 0.7682; 0.7608

[IMG]http://mediaserver.fxstreet.com/Reports/325f5b3f-7a7d-4768-8193-afec3573778f/audusd_20160419095033.png[/IMG]

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EURUSD

Reversal signal was generated on daily chart, following yesterday’s rally that left long bullish daily candle and peaked at 1.1445. Rally confirmed strong support at 1.1367 zone (Fibo 61.8% of 1.1213/1.1614 rally), which contained pullback off 1.1614 peak, for now.
Easing from 1.1445 is so far seen as corrective and should ideally stay above 1.1400 zone (psychological support / daily 30SMA), to keep fresh near-term bulls in play, for renewed attempts higher. Lift above initial barrier at 1.1445 will open next strong resistances at 1.1486 (50% retracement of 1.1614/1.1357 pullback, reinforced by daily Tenkan-sen line) and 1.1515 (Fibo 61.8% of 1.1614/1.1357 / weekly Ichimoku cloud top), break of which will confirm reversal.
Conversely, daily close below 1.1367 (Fibo 61.8% of 1.1213/1.1614 rally), will bring bears back to play and expose 1.1308 support (Fibo 76.4% retracement).

Res: 1.1427; 1.1445; 1.1486; 1.1515
Sup: 1.1396; 1.1378; 1.1357; 1.1308

GBPUSD

Cable left long-legged Doji candle yesterday, signaling hesitation to break above near-term congestion, despite posting fresh marginally higher high at 1.4486 on nearly 100-pips amplitude of yesterday’s trading.
Subsequent pullback that confirmed extended near-term directionless mode, keeps downside vulnerable and risk of possible renewed attack at key supports at 1.4373 (09 May correction low, reinforced by daily 30SMA) and 1.4320 (broken daily inverse H&S pattern neckline).
Daily technicals are mixed and see no clear direction while the price holds within 1.4373/1.4486 range.
Focus is on today’s BOE data, which are expected to influence pair’s near-term action. More dovish tone from BOE could put Cable under increased pressure, as loss of key 1.4373/20 supports, would open way towards key short-term support at 1.4004 (06 Apr low).
Alternative scenario requires clear break above 1.4486/91 barriers (congestion top / daily 10SMA), to signal recovery resumption towards 1.4524/70 (Fibo 38.2% / 50% of 1.4768/1.4373 downleg, respectively).

Res: 1.4453; 1.4486; 1.4524; 1.4570
Sup: 1.4393; 1.4373; 1.4320; 1.4296

[IMG]http://mediaserver.fxstreet.com/Reports/325f5b3f-7a7d-4768-8193-afec3573778f/gbpusd_20160512085906.png[/IMG]

USDJPY

The pair entered near-term congestion between 108.20 and 109.35, following repeated upside rejection at 108.35 hurdle (10/11 May highs). However, yesterday’s 100-pips fall, which left long red daily candle, so far did impact near-term bulls. Renewed attempts higher pressure initial barrier at 109.00 and show scope for fresh attack at 109.35 pivot (which lies just ahead of Fibo 61.8% of 111.87/105.53 downleg). Break here will expose psychological 110.00 barrier and 110.37 (Fibo 76.4%), in extension.
Conversely, weakness below congestion bottom at 108.20, will risk extension to 107.45 (daily tankan-sen) and signal lower top formation.
Setup of daily technicals is mixed and requires break out of near-term congestion, to signal fresh direction.

Res: 109.35; 110.00; 110.37; 110.88
Sup: 108.50; 108.20; 107.90; 107.60

[IMG]http://mediaserver.fxstreet.com/Reports/325f5b3f-7a7d-4768-8193-afec3573778f/usdjpy_20160512085927.png[/IMG]

AUDUSD

The pair returned to the lower side of near-term consolidation range and retested daily Ichimoku cloud **** at 0.7320, which so far contained downleg from 0.7833 peak, following stall of recovery rally extension at 0.7400 yesterday. This signals extended consolidation as likely scenario, with risk remaining at the downside, on weak near-term technicals.
Daily chart studies maintain strong bearish tone (bearish setup of 10;20;30 SMA’s and indicators deeply in the negative territory). Reversal of daily Slow Stochastic from oversold zone, so far did show stronger impact on bears, keeping upside attempts limited for now.
Yesterday’s high at 0.7400 marks initial resistance, followed by 0.7424 (Fibo 23.6% of 0.7833/0.7298 downleg) and 0.7441 (falling daily 10SMA), which mark initial pivots.
However, regain of minimum 0.7500 (Fibo 38.2% of 0.7833/0.7298 downleg), is needed to signal stronger upside action.
Key supports lay at 0.7320/0.7298, loss of which could trigger bearish acceleration towards0.7259 (200SMA) and 0.7211 (Fibo 61.8% of broader 0.6826/0.7833 ascend).

Res: 0.7377; 0.7400; 0.7441; 0.7500
Sup: 0.7320; 0.7298; 0.7259; 0.7211

[IMG]http://mediaserver.fxstreet.com/Reports/325f5b3f-7a7d-4768-8193-afec3573778f/audusd_20160512090008.png[/IMG]