جميع الحقوق محفوظة لمنتديات الدولار العربي 2011

افتح حساب اسلامى مع الشركة المرخصة EXNESS

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افتح حساب اسلامى مع الشركة المرخصة ICMarkets

افتح حساب اسلامى مع الشركة المرخصة NSFX

EURUSD

The Euro accelerated lower yesterday, on widely expected ECB’s QE decision. Continuation of strong bearish trend, marked fall of 2.1% yesterday, with fresh lows 12-year lows being posted on today’s extension below psychological 1.13 support. Yesterday’s long red candle maintains downside pressure, along with strong bearish tone, persisting on all timeframes. The pair now looks for 1.1210 target, Fibonacci 61.8% retracement of larger 0.8225/1.6039 ascend, with psychological 1.10 support, seen in extension. Oversold conditions, however, suggest consolidative / corrective actions, ahead of fresh push lower. Initial resistances lay at 1.1370, Asia’s high, then, ahead more significant 1.1458, former low of 16 Jan, with extended corrective attempts, expected to be limited at 1.1540, previous consolidation floor. Near-term focus now shifts towards Sunday’s elections in Greece, which may have further negative impact on the Euro.

Res: 1.1312; 1.1372; 1.1400; 1.1458

Sup: 1.1250; 1.1210; 1.1100; 1.1000

GBPUSD

Cable came under pressure with yesterday’s acceleration through previous low at 1.5032, completing near-term consolidative phase and fresh weakness eventually broke psychological 1.50 support. Yesterday’s long red candle, after repeated Dojis, confirms bearish resumption, with weekly close below 1.50 handle, required to open way towards next targets at 1.4910, Fibonacci 61.8% of multi-year 1.3501/1.7189 ascend and March 2013 higher **** at 1.4830/12. Initial resistance lies at 1.5025, session’s high, ahead of solid barriers at 1.5050 zone, Fibonacci 38.2% of 1.5210/1.4955 downleg and previous range lows, which should ideally cap corrective attempts. Only extension and close above 1.5100/20 zone, round-figure barrier / Fibonacci 61.8% of 1.5210/1.4955 / yesterday’s intraday low, would undermine near-term bears and shift focus towards upper breakpoints above 1.52 barrier.

Res: 1.5025; 1.5050; 1.5100; 1.5120

Sup: 1.4950; 1.4910; 1.4830; 1.4812

USDJPY

The pair regained some strength and bounced from 117.20 zone, where higher **** is forming, however, lack of momentum to eventually clear pivotal 118.85 barrier, keeps the price action with limited upside. While daily 20SMA and Ichimoku cloud top cap rallies, near-term movements are expected to hold within 117.20/118.85 range. Mixed studies, with positive near-term and still weak daily technicals, are supportive for such scenario in the near-term. Sustained break and weekly close above 118.85, is required for bullish resumption towards next barriers at 120 zone, while repeated failures to break higher, would keep the downside vulnerable.

Res: 118.85; 119.30; 119.57; 120.00

Sup: 118.00; 117.73; 117.20; 116.90

AUDUSD

The pair remains under pressure and extends weakness of past one week, to complete 0.8031/0.8293 corrective phase and eventually take out psychological 0.8000 support, on today’s acceleration lower. As the pair is poised for strong weekly bearish close, end of week’s trading below 0.8000 handle, is needed to confirm strong bearish stance for further weakness. Immediate target at 1.7945, Fibonacci 61.8% retracement of 0.6007/1.1079, 2008/2011 ascend, is under pressure, with break here to open next support at 0.7700, July 2009 low. Corrective rallies are expected to hold below 0.8135, yesterday’s high and Fibonacci 61.8% retracement of 0.8234/0.7963 downleg.

Res: 0.8031; 0.8066; 0.8097; 0.8135
Sup: 0.7963; 0.7945; 0.7900; 0.7850

GOLD

Spot gold returns into near-term consolidative range, trading around the mid-point of 1279/1307 range, after yesterday’s rally probed again above psychological 1300 barrier and also posted marginally higher high at 1307. Daily close above 1300 handle, was not enough for sustained break for now, with further consolidation required ahead of fresh push higher. Overall positive near-term technicals and strong bullish tone of daily / weekly studies, sees the upside favored for eventual rally above 1300 level, towards initial targets at 1322/24, lower tops of 08 Aug / 17 July 2014. Consolidative action is required to hold above 1280 low, to keep bulls in play and prevent stronger pullback, expected on break and close below 1280 handle.

Res: 1297; 1305; 1307; 1319
Sup: 1290; 1285; 1280; 1272

افتح حساب اسلامى مع الشركة المرخصة EXNESS

افتح حساب اسلامى مع الشركة الأسترالية XS

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EURUSD

The Euro started the week with gap-lower opening, as expected, according to the results of Greek elections, which increase pressure on the single currency, already weakened by recent SNB and ECB decisions. Lower opening of some 70-pips gap and fresh weakness below last Friday’s low, posted new low at 1.1096, on a brief probe below 1.11 handle. This was all seen so far, with fresh corrective action under way, on attempts above overnight’s high to fill the gap and signal stronger corrective action, ahead of fresh push lower. Overall picture holds strong bearish, confirmed by daily / weekly close in red, with last week’s descend, marking the strongest weekly fall since Sep 2010, also losses of the month of January are so far the strongest since May 2012. All these suggest that Euro’s fall is not over, as the price closed for the week below Fibonacci 61.8% of larger 2000/2008 0.8225/1.6039 ascend, seeing scope for attack at psychological 1.10 level, as initial target. Bounce on oversold near-term studies is so far seen as corrective, with initial requirement of sustained break above 1.1200 barrier, to open lower top at 1.1287, ahead of more significant hourly lower platform at 1.1372, last Friday’s high / near 50% of 1.1679/1.1096 downleg. Key near-term barrier lies at 1.1660/80 Zone, lower platform of 19/21 Jan and Fibonacci 38.2% of 1.2568/1.1096 and only break here would neutralize bears.

Res: 1.1245; 1.1287; 1.1318; 1.1372

Sup: 1.1150; 1.1096; 1.1050; 1.1000

GBPUSD

Cable bounces from fresh low at 1.4950, posted on attempt below psychological 1.50 support, below which, last Friday’s close occurred. This gives signals of further bearish action towards initial target at 1.4910, Fibonacci 61.8% of 1.3501/1.7189 and more significant 1.4830/12 higher **** and lows of 2013. Hesitation at 1.50 handle, above which near-term corrective bounce is trading, is expected to precede fresh leg lower, with 1.5050, previous low / Fibonacci 38.2% of 1.5210/1.4950, marking good barrier and 1.5110, Fibonacci 61.8% retracement, expected to ideally cap. Only break and close above 1.52 lower top and Fibonacci 38.2% of 1.5618/1.4950, would sideline near-term bears and open pivotal 1.5267 barrier, high of 14 Jan and former recovery attempts peak.

Res: 1.5050; 1.5080; 1.5110; 1.5150

Sup: 1.4983; 1.4950; 1.4910; 1.4830

[IMG]http://mediaserver.fxstreet.com/Reports/325f5b3f-7a7d-4768-8193-afec3573778f/gbpusd_20150126092253.png[/IMG]

USDJPY

The pair continues to trade in a choppy mode, entrenched within 117.20 and 118.85 range, with daily 20SMA / cloud, continuing to limit upside attempts. Last Friday’s close in red shows that the pair lacks strength for final push higher, however, mixed near-term and daily studies favor directionless mode in next few sessions, before establishing fresh direction. Sustained break above 118.85 is expected to accelerate rally towards next barriers at 120.00 and 120.80 in extension. Otherwise, loss of near-term range floor at 117.20, would increase risk of retesting 115.83, 16 Jan low and extension towards key short-term support at 115.55, low of 16 Dec 2014 and Fibonacci 38.2% of 105.18/121.83 rally.

Res: 118.32; 118.85; 119.30; 119.57

Sup: 117.82; 117.25; 116.90; 116.31

[IMG]http://mediaserver.fxstreet.com/Reports/325f5b3f-7a7d-4768-8193-afec3573778f/usdjpy_20150126092225.png[/IMG]

AUDUSD

The pair remains under pressure and posts fresh low at 0.7856, after last Friday’s acceleration lower closed below psychological 0.80 support, as well as 0.7945, Fibonacci 61.8% retracement of larger 0.6007/1.1079 ascend. Also, long red weekly candle, with weekly loss of that intensity, last time seen in Sep 2014, confirms negative stance for further retracement. Low of July 2009 at 0.7700 is seen as next near-term target, below which there will be no significant obstacles, until 0.7200, Fibonacci 76.4% retracement. Doji in Asian session and price action limited under session’s high, would signal limited upside, ahead of fresh attempts lower. Psychological 0.8000 resistance, also Fibonacci 38.2% of 0.8232/0.7856 descend and former lows at 0.8031, mark solid barrier and should ideally cap corrective attempts.

Res: 0.7945; 0.8000; 0.8031; 0.8088
Sup: 0.7856; 0.7800; 0.7750; 0.7700

افتح حساب اسلامى مع الشركة المرخصة EXNESS

افتح حساب اسلامى مع الشركة الأسترالية XS

افتح حساب اسلامى مع الشركة المرخصة FBS

افتح حساب اسلامى مع الشركة المرخصة ICMarkets

افتح حساب اسلامى مع الشركة المرخصة NSFX

EURUSD

The Euro maintains weak near-term tone, with brief consolidation above 1.13 handle, after yesterday’s renewed attempt lower found footstep ticks above pivotal 1.1260 higher ****, also Fibonacci 61.8% retracement of 1.1096/1.1532 upleg. Close below daily 10SMA, supports bearish outlook, as setup of near-term studies is negative and favors further downside. Break below 1.1260 handle to confirm bearish resumption and open 1.1222, higher low of 27 Jan, the last significant obstacle en-route towards key 1.1096 support. Near-term price action is for now limited by 1.1350/58, daily 10SMA / yesterday’s high and Fibonacci 38.2% of 1.1497/1.1268 downleg, with extended near-term consolidation seen while the barrier holds. Break higher to signal further correction, while only close above descending daily 20SMA, which so far capped the action and currently lies at 1.1420, would provide relief and re-focus the upper targets above 1.15 barrier.

Res: 1.1358; 1.1380; 1.1420; 1.1465

Sup: 1.1300; 1.1268; 1.1260; 1.1222

GBPUSD

Cable consolidates above 1.52 handle, near double- Fibonacci support, 38.2% retracement of 1.4950/1.5351 upleg and broken 38.2% of 1.5618/1.4950 descend, where pullback from fresh correction high at 1.5351, found temporary footstep. Mixed near-term studies signal neutral tone and further consolidation, with loss of 1.52 handle, to weaken the structure and open daily 10 and 20SMA supports at 1.5165 and 1.5142 respectively, below which to bring bears fully in play and re-focus lower boundaries of former consolidation range. Alternatively, sustained break above near-term consolidation range and yesterday’s high at 1.5265, to give initial bullish signal of higher low formation, for return towards pivotal 1.5351 high. Bullish resumption requires confirmation on a break above 1.5394, descending daily 55SMA.

Res: 1.5265; 1.5300; 1.5351; 1.5394

Sup: 1.5200; 1.5164; 1.5126; 1.5095

USDJPY

Near-term tone softened after pullback from fresh high at 119.20, signaled limited upside attempts and kept pivotal daily cloud top barrier at 119.25, intact. Yesterday’s close in red, puts near-term bulls on hold, as weakness probes below initial 118.45 support, 27 Jan former high and Fibonacci 38.2% of 117.15/119.20 upleg. Consolidative action is under way, confirmed by Asia’s Doji, however, downside risk would increase in case of further easing and violation of 117.90, daily 20SMA. Close below here will be bearish. On the other side, regain of minimum 118.76, yesterday’s intraday high, is required to signal higher low formation for return to 118.99, yesterday’s high and renewed attempt at pivotal 119.20/25, 06 Feb high / daily Ichimoku cloud top, break of which to resume recovery from 116.86, 02 Feb trough.

Res: 118.76; 118.99; 119.25; 119.57

Sup: 118.31; 118.18; 117.90; 117.60

AUDUSD

The pair returns to near-term range, defined by 0.7732 and 0.7874 boundaries, following rejection on yesterday’s attempt at range floor and subsequent bounce that attempts to establish price action above psychological 0.78 level and daily 10SMA. Positive setup of hourly studies sees potential for renewed attempt at the upper range barrier, also Fibonacci 38.2% of 0.8293/0.7624 descend, to signal break above near-term congestion, for stronger corrective action. Otherwise, prolonged consolidative phase could be expected in the near-term. Conversely, renewed violation of range floor levels would soften near-term tone and signal an end of near-term consolidative phase.

Res: 0.7840; 0.7874; 0.7900; 0.7940
Sup: 0.7789; 0.7746; 0.7732; 0.7720

افتح حساب اسلامى مع الشركة المرخصة EXNESS

افتح حساب اسلامى مع الشركة الأسترالية XS

افتح حساب اسلامى مع الشركة المرخصة FBS

افتح حساب اسلامى مع الشركة المرخصة ICMarkets

افتح حساب اسلامى مع الشركة المرخصة NSFX

EURUSD

The pair showed no significant changes during this week, trading within 1.1268/1.1358 range and price action mainly holding around magnetic 1.13 level. Near-term technicals maintain neutral tone, confirmed with repeated Dojis, while daily studies remain negatively aligned, as the price stays capped by daily 10SMA and corrective action from 1.1096, low of 26 Jan, limited by descending daily 20SMA. On the other side, fundamentals are expected to be the main trigger for fresh direction, as uncertainty about Greece continues and potential negative results may accelerate Euro towards parity level, while positive solution for the crisis would boost the pair for fresh recovery. Daily 20SMA at 1.1380, marks the first breakpoint, close above which to open recovery rejection levels and lower platform at 1.1500/30 zone and resume correction off 1.1096, on sustained break higher.

Res: 1.1358; 1.1380; 1.1400; 1.1430

Sup: 1.1300; 1.1268; 1.1260; 1.1222

GBPUSD

Cable returned back to near-term range, after yesterday’s rally through range tops at 1.5270 zone, stalled on approach to 1.53 barrier. Yesterday’s close in red confirmed false break and confirmed near-term neutral stance. Range floor at 1.52 zone is reinforced by daily 10SMA and so far holds, with break lower to confirm failure swing and trigger fresh easing towards daily 20SMA/Kijun-sen line, also 50% of 1.4950/1.5351 rally at 1.5150. Close below here to confirm near-term bears fully in play and shift focus lower. On the other side, regain of 1.53 handle, would re-focus pivotal barriers at 1.5351, 06 Feb high and 1.5363, Fibonacci 61.8% retracement of 1.5618/1.4950 descend.

Res: 1.5275; 1.5300; 1.5351; 1.5386

Sup: 1.5214; 1.5194; 1.5164; 1.5100

[IMG]http://mediaserver.fxstreet.com/Reports/325f5b3f-7a7d-4768-8193-afec3573778f/gbpusd_20150212094545.png[/IMG]

USDJPY

The pair holds overall bullish tone, following yesterday’s acceleration through psychological 120 barrier that posted fresh high at 120.46. However, today’s bearish acceleration of consolidative action through initial 120 support, also broke below pivotal 119.20/00 support levels, to dip near 50% of 116.86/120.46 rally / daily Tenkan-sen line. Immediate tone weakened, despite quick recovery that needs to return above 120 handle, to neutralize increasing downside risk. Repeated break below 119.20/00, 06 Feb former high / daily cloud top, to signal stronger correction of 116.86/120.46 rally and expose next strong supports at 118.31/23, 09 Feb trough and Fibonacci 61.8% of 116.86/120.46, loss of which to confirm lower top and bring bears fully in play.

Res: 119.73; 120.00; 120.46; 120.80

Sup: 119.20; 118.73; 118.31; 118.00

[IMG]http://mediaserver.fxstreet.com/Reports/325f5b3f-7a7d-4768-8193-afec3573778f/usdjpy_20150212094447.png[/IMG]

AUDUSD

The pair came under pressure on negative data and accelerated lower, following yesterday’s close below four-day range floor at 0.7730. Fresh weakness approaches key support at 0.7624, 03 Feb low, to complete near-term 0.7624/0.7874 corrective phase and signal resumption of larger downtrend. Close below 0.7624 to open next target at 0.7204, Fibonacci 76.4% of 2008/2011 0.6007/1.1079 rally. Near-term studies hold firm bearish tone, however, hesitation ahead of key support could expected on oversold conditions. Former support at 0.7730, also Fibonacci 38.2% of 0.7874/0.7642 descend, now acts as strong resistance and should ideally cap corrective rallies.

Res: 0.7700; 0.7730; 0.7760; 0.7790
Sup: 0.7642; 0.7624; 0.7530; 0.7470

[IMG]http://mediaserver.fxstreet.com/Reports/325f5b3f-7a7d-4768-8193-afec3573778f/audusd_20150212094406.png[/IMG]

افتح حساب اسلامى مع الشركة المرخصة EXNESS

افتح حساب اسلامى مع الشركة الأسترالية XS

افتح حساب اسلامى مع الشركة المرخصة FBS

افتح حساب اسلامى مع الشركة المرخصة ICMarkets

افتح حساب اسلامى مع الشركة المرخصة NSFX

EURUSD

The Euro holds above daily 10/20SMA’s bullish cross, which offers initial support, regaining positive tone after last Friday’s Doji and daily close below psychological 1.14 level. Near-term studies are positively aligned, ahead of today’s Eurogroup / Greece meeting. However prolonged consolidative phase to be expected while the price holds between 1.1378, MA’s cross and 1.1482, daily Kijun-sen, break of which to open key near-term barriers, correction highs at 1.1500/32 and signal resumption of corrective phase from 1.1096 low, on a break. Conversely, loss of 1.1378 handle, also Friday’s low, would weaken the structure and expose higher **** at 1.1270 for test.

Res: 1.1440; 1.1470; 1.1500; 1.1532

Sup: 1.1400; 1.1378; 1.1340; 1.1300

GBPUSD

Near-term tone remains positive, as Cable moves above 1.54 handle, after Friday’s consolidative action that followed last Thursday’s strong rally and confirmed by Doji. Positive near-term studies and daily technicals establishing in bullish mode, favor further upside. The price penetrated daily cloud, **** of which lies at 1.5366, together with broken daily 55SMA and offers solid support, expected to hold corrective dips. Initial target lies at 1.5460, Fibonacci 76.4% retracement of 1.5618/1.4950 downleg, ahead of psychological 1.55 barrier and more significant daily cloud top at 1.5535. Close above here to open key near-term barrier at 1.5618, 31 Dec 2014 lower top, reinforced by falling daily SMA.

Res: 1.5460; 1.5500; 1.5535; 1.5618

Sup: 1.5400; 1.5366; 1.5350; 1.5300

[IMG]http://mediaserver.fxstreet.com/Reports/325f5b3f-7a7d-4768-8193-afec3573778f/gbpusd_20150216100512.png[/IMG]

USDJPY

The pair remains under pressure in the near term, with renewed attempts at strong support at 118.30, last Friday’s low / 09/10Feb lows, reinforced by daily 20SMA, also near Fibonacci 61.8% retracement of 116.86/120.46 rally. Negatively aligned near-term studies favor further downside, with close below pivotal 118.30 support, expected to accelerate pullback from fresh high at 120.46. On the other side, while 118.30 support contains, basing signal would keep alive fresh attempts higher, as positive tone of daily studies is still in play. Confirmation requires close above 119.00, daily cloud top and 119.18, last Friday’s high / Fibonacci 38.2% of 120.46/118.35 downleg, to shift near-term focus higher.

Res: 119.00; 119.18; 119.60; 120.00

Sup: 118.30; 118.15; 117.71; 117.15

[IMG]http://mediaserver.fxstreet.com/Reports/325f5b3f-7a7d-4768-8193-afec3573778f/usdjpy_20150216100449.png[/IMG]

AUDUSD

Near-term studies are positively aligned, after past two-day corrective action and positive closes, but attempts through last Friday’s high, are running out of steam, keeping pivotal 0.7847, daily 20SMA and 0.7874, 06 Feb lower top, intact for now. While upside attempts remain limited below these barriers, extended consolidative action is expected to precede fresh attacks at key supports at 0.7642/24, loss of which to confirm resumption of larger downtrend. Conversely, sustained break higher is required to confirm double-bottom formation and stronger bounce towards next barrier at 0.7958, sideways-moving daily Kijun-sen line.

Res: 0.7793; 0.7840; 0.7874; 0.7900
Sup: 0.7750; 0.7723; 0.7665; 0.7642

[IMG]http://mediaserver.fxstreet.com/Reports/325f5b3f-7a7d-4768-8193-afec3573778f/audusd_20150216100415.png[/IMG]

افتح حساب اسلامى مع الشركة المرخصة EXNESS

افتح حساب اسلامى مع الشركة الأسترالية XS

افتح حساب اسلامى مع الشركة المرخصة FBS

افتح حساب اسلامى مع الشركة المرخصة ICMarkets

افتح حساب اسلامى مع الشركة المرخصة NSFX

EURUSD

The Euro failed to sustain break above 1.14 handle, with double rejection at 1.1443 on 13 Feb and 1.1429 yesterday, being followed by quick descend, which now pressures psychological 1.13 support. With no solution on Greece/EU talks so far, downside pressure is rising. Near-term focus turns towards pivotal 1.1260 higher **** and Fibonacci 61.8% of 1.1096/1.1532 rally and eventual break lower to expose key support at 1.1096, low of 26 Jan. Bearish setup of near-term studies and price’s return below daily 20SMA, support the notion. However, prolonged consolidation could be expected while 1.1260 **** holds, with Friday’s high at 1.1443, marking the first pivot.

Res: 1.1378; 1.1429; 1.1443; 1.1470

Sup: 1.1319; 1.1300; 1.1260; 1.1222

GBPUSD

Cable consolidates around daily cloud **** at 1.5360, following fresh extension of larger rally that peaked at 1.5438. Yesterday’s bearish Outside Day comes as negative signal, amid overall bullish tone, seeing risk of recovery rally stall in case the price closes below 1.53, Fibonacci 61.8% of 1.5207/1.5438 ascend. Otherwise, close above cloud **** and regain of 1.54 handle, would be a positive signal for fresh attempts higher. Break above 1.5438 high to open 1.5460, Fibonacci 76.4% of 1.5618/1.4950 and 1.5526, daily cloud top, in extension.

Res: 1.5385; 1.5400; 1.5438; 1.5460

Sup: 1.5337; 1.5300; 1.5262; 1.5207

USDJPY

The pair trades in near-term consolidative mode, after reversal from 120.46 high found support at 118.25, Fibonacci 61.8% of 116.86/120.46 upleg, reinforced by daily 20SMA. Consolidation is for now entrenched between daily 20 and 55SMA’s, laying at 118.25 and 118.75, respectively, with yesterday’s Doji, signaling near-term indecision. Bearish near-term studies favor further easing, with break below 118.25 and daily Tenkan-sen at 118.15, expected to open 117.71, Fibonacci 76.4% retracement, next. On the other side, positive tone still exists on a daily chart and cannot rule out basing attempt and fresh recovery, which requires break above 118.75, daily 55SMA and 119.03, daily Ichimoku cloud top, to be confirmed.

Res: 118.75; 119.03; 119.60; 119.86

Sup: 118.25; 118.15; 117.71; 117.15

AUDUSD

The pair holds positive tone in near-term, as recovery rally off 0.7642 higher low, probes above psychological 0.78 barrier. On the other side, yesterday’s Doji sows no significant movements on the bigger picture, with bears prevailing and descending daily 20SMA, currently at 0.7827, limiting upside attempts for now. Break here and pivotal 0.7874, 06 Feb lower top, is required to confirm break above near-term range and signal stronger recovery towards pivotal 0.8023/31, high of 28 Jan / low of 07 Jan. Otherwise, expect prolonged consolidation, while the price action remains within current range, with downside risk to remain in play.

Res: 0.7827; 0.7874; 0.7900; 0.7958
Sup: 0.7740; 0.7722; 0.7700; 0.7667